Will Bitcoin Crash to 25K in 2026?

On Bitcoin

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• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: I think that's going to happen in the next several weeks. I think likely as we enter 2026, perhaps in the beginning of 2026, we may very well see some kind of a strong bounce ▶ 08:19 Said again while their call of 1 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 84.7k when said, 88k on 31 Dec 2025 (+3.9%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): Bitcoin, in my view, is forming a correction, a temporary corrective pattern. But as yet for me, there is not sufficient evidence to show that Bitcoin has entered ▶ 11:05 Said again while their call of 28 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 114.4k when said, 81.3k on 28 Oct 2026 (−28.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bounce to the weekly 21 EMA (about 99K-100K) is corrective and gets rejected, then no target given (this cycle): bounce gets rejected from the weekly 21 EMA, which could be in the region of about 100K or 99K, then that rejection or failure at the weekly 21 EMA would be a strong sign that we're entering a bare market. ▶ 08:53
• If Sustained break below the April spring lows near 74K, then no target given (this cycle): then a break of that level, a sustained break of that level near 74K would increase the probability that Bitcoin has entered a bare market. ▶ 06:39

Levels named

• 99–100k: Resistance (Weekly 21 EMA is where a corrective bounce could be rejected): which could be in the region of about 100K or 99K, then that rejection or failure at the weekly 21 EMA would be a strong sign ▶ 08:55
• 74k: Support (A break of the spring lows would be a break of weekly market structure and raise bear market odds): drop below the spring lows. So the lows that were made in the price of Bitcoin back in April near 74K ▶ 06:32

Their own position: Not said.