I Said You Won't Get the Bitcoin Pullback. I Backtested 1,600 Versions to Prove It.

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved up to sideways; weeks moved down to sideways.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Sideways: I do think Bitcoin is not going to be making new highs above yesterday's high at least for like a week or you know, you know, at least for like another week or maybe two. ▶ 10:13 The call was right: 79.5k when said, 77.9k on 1 Sep 2026 (−2.0%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Sideways: I do think that Bitcoin is going to be, you know, kind of in a holding pattern right here. We don't really see major jump offs. ▶ 11:00 Said again while their call of 10 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 64.3k when said, 78.6k on 9 Sep 2026 (+22.2%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: So do I think Bitcoin's going to get up around 90,000 bucks sometime in Q4? It's likely. ▶ 17:06 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): do I think that this rally is going to fail? No, I I I I don't think so. Um you know, I I I I think it's very unlikely ▶ 14:42 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If 12-hour time frame closes below about 77,800, then 76k (next days): It will if it does close below about 77,800. And at that point, yeah, I'd be looking for another run towards 76 or so. ▶ 17:56
• If Bitcoin comes back down below 70,000, which would make this rally a massive trap, then no target given (next months): I'd get extremely [ __ ] bearish if Bitcoin came back down below, let's call it 70,000 bucks. ▶ 03:50

Levels named

• 90k: Target (average +16.5% three months after all higher time frames align): So do I think Bitcoin's going to get up around 90,000 bucks sometime in Q4? It's likely. ▶ 17:06
• 76k: Support (bottom end of upper ribbon band one reclaimed and used as a base): That is effectively 76,000 bucks and change as of right now. And Bitcoin has thus far used it as a nice area for a base base ▶ 09:45
• 75–76k: Support, expected to hold (rising weekly 5 EMA expected near 76k next week): I do think anywhere around 75 to 76 uh is probably a good do. I really don't expect that much lower than that on a straight wick only. ▶ 13:52
• 72k: Target (weekly 5 EMA reconnect, possible but not expected this week): it is possible that Bitcoin could get a nice move down to reconnect with that red five EMA, which is effectively at 72,000 bucks right now ▶ 12:19
• 70k: Their view is wrong past this (line in the sand; below it the rally looks like a massive trap): I'd get extremely [ __ ] bearish if Bitcoin came back down below, let's call it 70,000 bucks. ▶ 03:50
• 65.7k: Support (monthly close above it completes the monthly stochastic cross up): This will happen inevitably if Bitcoin finishes this month again next Monday above 65,700. ▶ 14:32

Their own position: Short. I did take a position um uh in the last 24 hours. I did short the $75,000 put strike 20 times for 500 each.

Dates named

• Q2 GDP on 26 Aug 2026: tomorrow we got Q2 GDP coming out. Probably a big one.
• July PCE on 26 Aug 2026: Uh July PCA also coming out same you know in the morning before markets open, I believe. Uh so, that should move markets.
• Jackson Hole on 27 Aug 2026: Then we have Jackson Hole at the end of this week, Thursday, Friday effectively.
• August CPI on 11 Sep 2026: but next but the Friday uh September 11th is like the next major economic event, which is going to be August CPI.