I Won't Call the Bitcoin Bottom Until All Eight of These Flip. Four Just Did.

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks moved waiting to sideways; months moved down to waiting.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on 64.5k (timeframe is our reading): However, the gate is still more or less the same for the mid band, which is 64 515. ▶ 00:24
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Sideways: I don't think we're going to see anything like super super significant uh in this month of August. ▶ 07:15 Said again while their call of 10 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 64.3k when said, 78.6k on 9 Sep 2026 (+22.2%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Waiting on 64.5k (timeframe is our reading): ribbon ribbons over here needs to reclaim 64,515 on the daily closure. Above there, good. ▶ 08:14
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): so far so good, you know, I'm still looking at this as likely putting in a low. ▶ 10:21 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin closes above the ribbon mid band at 64,515 on CME, then 65–66k (next days): 64 515. Now, if Bitcoin does close above there, that will be one of a couple of different signals that we're going to be looking at today, but that is a big one ▶ 00:29
• If Bitcoin rejects at the 64,515 area, then 60k (next weeks): does open up the potential for a real rejection here. And if Bitcoin does reject here, then well, we're looking back down towards 60,000 bucks realistically. ▶ 15:11
• If seven of the eight higher timeframe stochastic signals align, then 81–82k (next months, by over the course of 90 days): we would have something of great interest here, which would be about 81 to 82,000 bucks and over the course of 90 days puts us where? ▶ 02:34

Levels named

• 82k: Target (last major weekly swing high, lower high of the current trend): It puts Bitcoin basically in alignment with the last previous major weekly swing high, which is 82,000 bucks and change. ▶ 02:56
• 66.2–68.3k: Target (technical target box from the reverberance indicator): which would be on the lower end about 66,225. And on the higher end, if Bitcoin were to get there, 68,350. ▶ 04:05
• 65.7k: Resistance (monthly close level for the monthly stochastic signal): if Bitcoin's above 65,722 by that time, which naturally can see, those dominos would very likely lead ▶ 05:37
• 65k: Resistance (three-day pivot that forces the three-day stochastic up): Tomorrow's going to be 65,000 bucks because that is, of course, the three-day pivot here, which we can show very briefly ▶ 05:15
• 64.5k: Resistance (ribbon ribbons mid band, CME daily close needs to reclaim it): However, the gate is still more or less the same for the mid band, which is 64 515. ▶ 00:24
• 60k: Target (downside if the rejection happens, would be a lower high): does open up the potential for a real rejection here. And if Bitcoin does reject here, then well, we're looking back down towards 60,000 bucks realistically. ▶ 15:11

Their own position: Bought, no leverage. I'm continuing to buy 100 100 buckeroonies of Bitcoins per day over here on Dirt Base

Dates named

• FOMC minutes from the July meeting on 19 Aug 2026: Tomorrow is going to be FOMC minutes. Usually, this is like not really that big of a deal.
• Jackson Hole Symposium on 27 Aug 2026: And then, of course, Thursday through Saturday, you got Jackson Hole Symposium.