Is Bitcoin About To Crash? (What the Data Says)

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from leaning down to expecting down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Expects down (timeframe is our reading): Looking for Bitcoin in the short term to kind of play out its downside moves somewhere around these green dots here in the lower band on the revenue ribbons indicator. ▶ 01:40 Said again while their call of 22 May 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 76.8k when said, 73.8k on 29 May 2026 (−3.9%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): So, this is really starting to look like the short term, the medium term, and the higher term time frames all aligning with each other. And yeah, I am looking for downside. ▶ 05:03 Said again while their call of 28 Apr 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 76.1k when said, 72.9k on 28 May 2026 (−4.1%).

If this, then that

• If If Bitcoin closes below the median (about 74,900) on Friday, the target extends down to the 382 level, then 67.5k (next weeks, by Friday): if that does fail, if we see Bitcoin close below there on Friday, then I would extend the target down to the bottom side of this blue zone here, the 382 level. That would be about 67,500. ▶ 05:50

Levels named

• 79.1k: Their view is wrong past this (Mid band of the revenue ribbons indicator; downside bias holds while price is below it): The mid band right here on the revenue ribbons indicator has now moved down to about 79,100. ▶ 01:30
• 78k: Resistance (Today's rejection; no reason to change view while price stays below): even if you just were to look at today's rejection at about 78,000 bucks in change, as long as Bitcoin's below there ▶ 02:44
• 77k: Resistance (Daily stochastic momentum shows downside pressure while price is below it): it will remain with downside pressure as long as Bitcoin's below 77,000 bucks. ▶ 03:47
• 74.9k: Target (HPR median test after price drifts far from it and volatility contracts): then almost always you're going to get a test to the median at minimum. And that is uh 74 what? 74,900? ▶ 05:39
• 74k: Target (50% Fibonacci retracement level): the 50% retracement level is just below 74,000 bucks and the 618 is at 71 uh, 870. ▶ 06:26
• 67.5k: Target (Bottom side of the blue zone, the 382 level): if that does fail, if we see Bitcoin close below there on Friday, then I would extend the target down to the bottom side of this blue zone here, the 382 level. That would be about 67,500. ▶ 05:50

Their own position: No position; would buy at 70k. and I will be buying Bitcoin at 70,000 bucks and below, personally.