Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks moved down to waiting.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Waiting on 83k: arguing that if 83 is lost, then the whole thing unwinds very quickly. ▶ 20:05
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Waiting on 83k: You lose 83, you go a lot lower. you hold 83, then Q4 looks a lot different than typical midterm year Q4s. ▶ 26:02

If this, then that

• If If Bitcoin gives away 83K, the move unwinds quickly, then no target given (next weeks): So I would watch 83K. 83K is important. If we give away 83, then this thing unwinds because then everyone looks at this ▶ 23:04
• If If Bitcoin holds 83K despite rising rates into October, the bull case continues and Q4 looks different from a typical midterm year, then no target given (next months): If Bitcoin holds 83K despite rising rates as we get into October, then then I you know, you you have you have to respect that, right? ▶ 25:28

Levels named

• 83k: Support (prior high being tested as support; bulls defend it and bears try to break it): But 83K is kind of the line in the sand, I think. And that's why you see so many people defending it. ▶ 25:48

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• Big labor market report on Friday on 2 Oct 2026: we have the uh you know a big labor market report coming in on Friday so we'll see how that uh shapes up