April Has Been a Disaster for Bitcoin 5 Years Straight. Here We Go Again.

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks moved sideways to down; months moved down to sideways.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): that's just my opinion. Uh as far as it goes right now, downside more likely. ▶ 06:32 Said again while their call of 17 Mar 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 73.9k when said, 74.7k on 16 Apr 2026 (+1.1%), under the 2.5% it takes to count.
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Sideways: best case scenario, really, for the next couple months, in my opinion, is Bitcoin going sideways. That's the only way that I see Bitcoin kind of, you know, digging its way out here. ▶ 09:27 Said again while their call of 11 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 66.5k when said, 62.7k on 11 Jun 2026 (−5.7%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin reclaims 70,664 on a daily close, then 76–80k (next weeks): it's actually 70,664, um again on a daily closing basis, then yeah, there's some hopium here. I would expect Bitcoin to, you know, try uh at least back around the March highs of 76,000 bucks. ▶ 06:05

Levels named

• 80k: Resistance (upper end of the expected range for the next month or two): at least for the next month or two, um between basically 80,000 bucks to the upside versus $60,000 to the downside. ▶ 04:22
• 70.7k: Resistance (mid-band of the revenue ribbons; below it the trend is down, reclaiming on a daily close turns him a short-term bull): my line in the sand in the short term for Bitcoin is about 70,664 on CME daily closing basis. ▶ 12:31
• 64k: Target (lower green band of the ribbon, where price could be walked down while below the mid-band): walked down to that lower green band here on the dotted green line, which currently is coming in about 64,000 bucks. ▶ 06:41
• 60k: Target (a typical ~10% losing-April drawdown from the open would put price near 60,000): that'd put Bitcoin somewhere down around uh 60,000 bucks. Not that crazy. ▶ 03:36
• 55k: Support (low end of a sideways range, roughly 55k to just under 80k): I mean a range between Let's call it like 55 to the downside versus about, you know, just under 80 to the upside. ▶ 09:35

Their own position: Not said.