Bitcoin Just Hit a Signal That Only Appears Once Every Cycle

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from expecting up to leaning up; months went from expecting sideways to leaning sideways.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): Bitcoin's going to hit last week's high maybe slightly higher by a couple thousand bucks. ▶ 14:43 Said again while their call of 5 Mar 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 71.7k when said, 70.3k on 12 Mar 2026 (−1.8%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Sideways (timeframe is our reading): At best I think we're ranging in this in this area between 60 and 80 for a while. ▶ 14:55 Said again while their call of 11 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 66.5k when said, 62.7k on 11 Jun 2026 (−5.7%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up: Anyways, if you're long-term, you know, fast-forwarding 5 years out from now, probably good value. ▶ 03:15 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin closes below the mid-band at 68,300 on the daily timeframe, then 60k (next days): Closing below the mid-band at 68,300, so below there on a daily timeframe, I would switch around to being just looking for another flush at 60,000 bucks. ▶ 07:46
• If Bitcoin closes above 71,200 today on CME, giving the 5/21 EMA cross and validating the move higher, then no target given (next days, by today): Again, must close above 71,200 in order for me to validate that move higher in the short-term. ▶ 09:25

Levels named

• 75–77k: Target (green 55 EMA, corrective move target if the cross happens): So, I'd say between about 75 to 77 is where I'd be looking for if we got that cross. ▶ 09:13
• 74k: Target (last week's high, likely reached if the cross is confirmed): It's very likely going to hit at least at least last week's high at 74 and change ▶ 09:07
• 71.8k: Target (lower end of the blue box on the ribbon indicator): I'm still looking for at minimum the lower end of this blue box to be hit, which is 71,750. ▶ 05:49
• 68.3k: Support (ribbon mid band; bias stays up while price is above it): and still as long as Bitcoin's above the mid band 68,200 or sorry let me adjust that 68,300. ▶ 05:42
• 54–55k: Support (200 simple moving average, possible quick wick lower): maybe if it does go for an official test of that 200 simple here down around 54 55,000 dollars on a quick wick ▶ 05:00

Their own position: Bought. I did buy in the low 60s just full disclosure