Bitcoin Analysis: The Setup Everyone Missed

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks moved up to sideways; months moved down to sideways; cycle moved up to waiting.

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• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): Like I said, 75,000 uh 200 very, very likely if we go for the medicine will set up. ▶ 03:51 The call was wrong: 71.7k when said, 70.3k on 12 Mar 2026 (−1.8%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Sideways (timeframe is our reading): for right now, in the short {slash} medium term, I'm just looking at sideways and likely a range-bound rally. ▶ 07:19 The call was right: 71.7k when said, 67.4k on 4 Apr 2026 (−6.0%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Sideways: really expect Bitcoin to kind of hang this lower block between 80,000 bucks on the exact upper end versus about, you know, 58,000 bucks on the lower end, um, you know, for for a couple months most likely. ▶ 06:25 Said again while their call of 11 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 66.5k when said, 62.7k on 11 Jun 2026 (−5.7%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Waiting on 65.5k: that is going to happen on what would be bullish divergence if Bitcoin closes tomorrow, Friday, above 65,500. ▶ 05:39

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin closes Friday above 65,500, flipping the weekly stochastic up on bullish divergence, then no target given (this cycle, by tomorrow, Friday): that is going to happen on what would be bullish divergence if Bitcoin closes tomorrow, Friday, above 65,500. ▶ 05:39
• If a spike up above 75,000 in the short term, then no target given (next days): in the short term, if you see a spike up above 75,000 bucks especially, I think it's going to get pushed back on the you know, on that on that next pull. ▶ 07:48
• If Bitcoin comes back down below the 65,000 March 1st low, then no target given (next weeks): If Bitcoin comes back down below that $65,000 low right here, which was the 1st of March low, then hey, I am more than happy to cover that position because I think that things are going lower. ▶ 14:41

Levels named

• 80k: Resistance (fighting the bi-weekly 5 EMA and 3-week 55 EMA near the top of the rally): I think at most, we might get 80,000 bucks and even before then, you know, you're fighting off the bi-weekly 5 EMA right here. ▶ 07:24
• 77k: Target (second target of the Medicinal setup, lower probability): Target number two is significantly lower probability at 44%, but that is at 77,000 dollars. ▶ 01:11
• 75.2k: Target (corrective setup targets the 55 EMA): almost always we're going to get at least a minimum correction to the green moving average. That's a 55 EMA, and that is at 75,200. ▶ 03:15
• 74.3k: Resistance (where Bitcoin topped out yesterday): crawling its way up above about 74,300. That is factually where Bitcoin did top out yesterday. ▶ 02:34
• 67.4k: Their view is wrong past this (rally stays alive while above yesterday's low): I am effectively looking at this rally as still alive as long as we're above yesterday's low of 67,407 ▶ 04:55
• 65.5k: Support (weekly stochastic bullish cross needs a close above it): that is going to happen on what would be bullish divergence if Bitcoin closes tomorrow, Friday, above 65,500. ▶ 05:39
• 65k: Support (March 1st low; a break would mean lower prices): If Bitcoin comes back down below that $65,000 low right here, which was the 1st of March low, then hey, I am more than happy to cover that position because I think that things are going lower. ▶ 14:41
• 58k: Support (lower end of the expected multi-month range): really expect Bitcoin to kind of hang this lower block between 80,000 bucks on the exact upper end versus about, you know, 58,000 bucks on the lower end, um, you know, for for a couple months most likely. ▶ 06:25

Their own position: Short. All we did here was just a simple short put spread shorting the $61,000 put strike and longing the $59,000 put strike.