SPX & Gold Flash Warning Signs | Bitcoin Still Holding + My Risky Trade

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle flipped down to up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on 63k (timeframe is our reading): And I should wait to take the next uh take the next action should, you know, $63,000 get taken out to the downside. ▶ 13:21
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up: So, in my opinion, if you're holding for more than 4 years, I do like these regions. ▶ 13:35 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin finishes the week above $63,000 and the weekly stochastic oscillator crosses up while the Pesto Fear Index shows extreme fear, then 75–79k (next weeks, by end of this week): very likely clears the ways for a move towards I'd say anywhere between the 382 to the to the 50% retracement level right here. So, let's say 75 to 79, extremely likely somewhere in there. ▶ 08:20
• If Bitcoin closes above the February 24th high of 70,057, completing the upside reversal, then 75–76k (next weeks): at 70,057 and a quarter. Bitcoin can do that, it's it's an upside reversal. Get ready for a move into, you know, the mid-70s, let's say 75-76,000 bucks very likely. ▶ 04:55
• If Bitcoin takes out last Friday's low just under $63,000, so the weekly stochastic setup is not in place, then 55–58k (next weeks): at that point, I'd probably be looking for one more washout to the downside with a nice five handle on it, you know, 50 55,000 bucks to 58,000 bucks ▶ 08:45

Levels named

• 75–79k: Target (382 to 50% retracement zone): So, let's say 75 to 79, extremely likely somewhere in there. Maybe even all the way up to the 618, very possible. ▶ 08:26
• 66k: Support (daily 200 simple moving average, a possible pullback target if the S&P correction plays out): you know, I'm probably looking somewhere down around that daily 200 simple, 66,000 Sorry, 66 6600. ▶ 10:25
• 63k: Their view is wrong past this (last Friday's low; a break would invalidate the options trade and the bullish setup): And if Bitcoin comes back down below last Friday's low, which is a beautiful invalidation just under $63,000, I would be happy to cover that position by shorting Bitcoin ▶ 03:13
• 55–58k: Target (one more washout to the downside if Friday's low breaks): I'd probably be looking for one more washout to the downside with a nice five handle on it, you know, 50 55,000 bucks to 58,000 bucks, somewhere in that pocket there. ▶ 08:45

Their own position: Holding, no leverage. I did buy Bitcoin in the low $60,000 territory. I'm completely open to going big underwater on these positions, by the way.