Bitcoin Weakness vs Strong Trad Markets (This Matters More Than Price)

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped up to down; weeks went from expecting down to leaning down; months moved down to sideways.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): the midline on our target region right now is 86 900 or so you know perhaps a short-term test back down to that region. ▶ 02:58 Said again while their call of 16 Jan 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 94.6k when said, 89.8k on 23 Jan 2026 (−5.1%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down: and we are in for I suppose a you know 14 year period sorry 14 year 14 day period of just general downside bias. ▶ 04:06 Said again while their call of 2 Jan 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 89.4k when said, 77.6k on 1 Feb 2026 (−13.2%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Sideways: comes down here spends more time more sideways another few months boys should out of people time capitulation's a real thing ▶ 07:54 Said again while their call of 14 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 111.3k when said, 67.1k on 11 Feb 2026 (−39.8%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin reclaims the 92,500 revenue ribbons midline on a daily close, then no target given (next weeks): right now it's 92,500 as long as Bitcoin's below there happy to be looking for sideways and down but if Bitcoin does start to reclaim that number ▶ 03:26
• If Bitcoin pops back above the 98,000 local high rejection, then the host covers the short call spread and buys spot, then no target given (next weeks): it's super easy to cover if Bitcoin pops back above this last local high here that 98,000 dollar rejection then I'm happy to flip around buy the spot underlying cover myself ▶ 05:24

Levels named

• 98k: Resistance (last local high where price was rejected): it's super easy to cover if Bitcoin pops back above this last local high here that 98,000 dollar rejection then I'm happy to flip around buy the spot underlying cover myself ▶ 05:24
• 92.5k: Resistance (midline of the revenue ribbons indicator; staying below keeps the sideways and down bias): Again right now it's 92,500 as long as Bitcoin's below there happy to be looking for sideways and down ▶ 03:26
• 91.9k: Resistance (top side of average daily returns; expects a pullback on first pass): it would be 91,000 bucks or 91,900 actually meaning that if Bitcoin does hit up there intraday I would be looking for a pullback on the first pass. ▶ 00:47
• 87.8k: Support (bottom side of average daily returns from historical price statistics): the bottom side of these average daily returns is 87 800 if you do see that number hit intraday here. I would be looking for a small bounce ▶ 00:21
• 86.9k: Target (lower midline of the revenue ribbons target region): the midline on our target region right now is 86 900 or so you know perhaps a short-term test back down to that region. ▶ 02:58
• 83k: Target (lower end of the current range block): probably looking at a move to the lower end of this block 83,000 bucks give or take a few bucks from that number. ▶ 07:38
• 80k: Support (November lows, bottom of the two-month range): Again Bitcoin can easily test the prior lows from November at 80,000 bucks completely fine ▶ 06:38

Their own position: Short. I am still not necessarily bullish on Bitcoin and I still am holding my short call spread out of the money