Bitcoin's Most Feared Rally Is Upon Us

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from expecting down to leaning down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): I do still think Bitcoin, you know, probably has one more swipe a little bit lower, but I do think it will very likely bounce from that region. ▶ 15:31 Said again while their call of 14 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 89k when said, 88.1k on 21 Dec 2025 (−1.1%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: that Bitcoin's likely to rally somewhere around there, you know, within the next month. ▶ 07:57 Said again while their call of 7 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 89.6k when said, 93.6k on 6 Jan 2026 (+4.6%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): But if it does not, then, you know, it's still the same playbook as the four-year cycle, I suppose, at least for now. ▶ 15:47 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 124.2k when said, 86.2k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.6%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin finishes the week above $85,000, then no target given (next weeks, by by end of this week): if you see Bitcoin finish this week specifically above $85,000 then I would be looking for Bitcoin to complete the rally or begin the rally I would say from that time. ▶ 05:02
• If Bitcoin reclaims 107k to 107.5k, at which point the host turns bullish, then no target given (this cycle): If Bitcoin reclaims 107 on that move or 107 and a half, I will turn into a bull. ▶ 10:08

Levels named

• 107.5k: Resistance (lower-high line; reclaiming it would flip the host bullish): And of course, Bitcoin is operating on lower highs, especially as long as you're below about 107500. ▶ 03:49
• 100k: Target (several signals (HPDR median, Fibonacci zone) converge near 100k): we're seeing a lot of things kind of correlate around 100,000 bucks, give or take a few bucks, from that number. ▶ 10:03
• 90.8k: Resistance (midpoint of the ribbon indicator; short-term downside bias while price is below it): being below the midpoint right here, which is about 90,800 or so right now. ▶ 13:57
• 84.9k: Support (holding above the pivot allows the weekly stochastic momentum cross): assuming Bitcoin could just remain above the pivot of 84,920, then we will see this cross to the upside. ▶ 02:09
• 82.2–84.7k: Target (area of interest between the dotted line and the lower end of the blue box on the ribbon indicator): we are likely to see somewhere between the dotted line which is about 84,700 on the upper end versus the lower end of this blue box which is about 82,200. ▶ 14:03
• 83.5k: Support (major bi-weekly moving average that has respected price action): retesting this major moving average here on the bi-weekly. I think this this one's been getting price action quite well and that's about 83500 ▶ 15:00
• 80.5k: Their view is wrong past this (November low on a closing basis): it just is so close to the invalidation, which is the November low of 80,500 on a closing basis. ▶ 15:18

Their own position: Bought. I did my buying in that region, not because I feel great about it, but because my system told me to.

Dates named

• Host's BTC short put spread (80k strike) expiry on 26 Dec 2025: If we remain above uh, 80,000 bucks by December 26, I will lock in that position.