Is Bitcoin Still On Track For $209,000?

On Bitcoin

Guest Swany · not counted as Krown's view.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): And so far, I'm still leaning upside with the low end so far at 98. ▶ 05:21
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up: But but that's where I'm at. 209 by uh by July is still in play. ▶ 37:14

If this, then that

• If a weekly close under 97.8k puts the weekly chart into the bear zone, then 85k (next weeks): if we close a week underneath uh the 978 here and it clicks into the bare zone, the risk will be pretty high probability it's going to go from 97 straight down to that 85 pretty quickly ▶ 07:47
• If three weekly settlements under 85.8k, then 60–70k (next months): If I get three weekly settlements under 858, um I'm looking at like way lower like 60 70k. ▶ 10:51
• If the 80s area breaks, then 53–60k (next months): if it ends up breaking this 80s area. Um 577 falls inside my fib extension zone between 53 and 60. So I'm looking at mid-50s man if that ends up breaking. ▶ 35:26
• If price holds at the 97-98k support, then 209k (this cycle, by July): But if it does hold here, that 209 is still in play, but it's going to be a different date. ▶ 23:21
• If price falls to 85k first, then only a 103% extension, then 170k (this cycle): if it goes all the way to the third, just say it goes all the way to the 85. Um and then and then we only get theund 103% then you're looking at about 170ish ▶ 32:58

Levels named

• 209k: Target (361.8% extension of the trend line break): broke the trend line, hit the 361, broke the trend line, and this 361 is at the 209K. ▶ 25:52
• 126.3k: Resistance (October high that matched the halving timing pattern): Uh 126 296 has been the high so far here on on the Coinbase chart. ▶ 06:53
• 98k: Support (ADX is losing momentum on the move down, which helps buying interest at the 98k wick low): to me that helps the buying interest at that 98 level kind of come in and and kind of hold that as a as a possible floor moving forward. ▶ 09:01
• 86k: Support (31% correction level, near monthly moving averages): you go to the 31% if you just want to put it down to this point, you're looking at around 86. ▶ 15:37
• 53–60k: Support (fib extension zone if the 80s break): Um 577 falls inside my fib extension zone between 53 and 60. So I'm looking at mid-50s man if that ends up breaking. ▶ 35:30

Their own position: Holding. I'm 30% long of the capital that I have in my BTC bucket basically.

Dates named

• Halving-based four-year cycle timing pointing to an October 2025 high, undated: following a lot of patterns of havingss uh since the beginning um and matching that same pattern every time the October 2025 was a spot to where the high should have been in