Bitcoin: Downside Likely… But I’m Still Buying

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from expecting down to leaning down.

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• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down: I do think that target number three is uh somewhat likely um you know within the next day or two perhaps. ▶ 03:34 Said again while their call of 11 Nov 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 103.5k when said, 92.9k on 18 Nov 2025 (−10.2%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Waiting on a level (timeframe is our reading): U but like I said, I'm not really willing to call it either which way right now. Um you know, I am very agnostic. ▶ 10:59

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin reclaims the 108 high from Monday, then 111–113k (next weeks): this 108 high right here just below 108 from Monday of this week. Uh if Bitcoin can reclaim that I would be looking for a rally into you know at least 111 112 113 region. ▶ 09:12

Levels named

• 116.5k: Resistance (late October high needed to confirm overall bullishness): I would not confirm like overall bullishness until you're back above this high right here from late October which was 116500 or so. ▶ 09:25
• 108k: Resistance (needs to be reclaimed before any major reversal): I wouldn't really be entertaining any sort of like massive potential major reversal until at minimum you're back above this high right here again, 108 ▶ 09:42
• 99.8k: Support (average loss for a losing Thursday): that would give an area of interest at around 99,800 or so. So if you do see Bitcoin hit around that number today, I would be expecting at least a small bounce on that first pass. ▶ 01:53
• 99.2k: Target (5-day 55 EMA is the minimum correction target after the red MA crosses below the yellow MA): that green moving average is at 99,175. Again, that is a minimum a minimum corrective target here. ▶ 07:57
• 98.8–99k: Target (short setup target number three): a region or an area of interest around 99,000 bucks you know give or take a few hundred bucks from that number technically a little bit lower there at 98772 if you want to be super exact ▶ 03:12
• 98k: Their view is wrong past this (daily close below invalidates the daily long setup): I would not discount the upside setup until you see Bitcoin closing below about 98,000 bucks. ▶ 05:45
• 90k: Their view is wrong past this (below this he would stop holding out hope for the bull market): I ain't calling it quits just yet until Bitcoin's below some pretty nasty numbers. Let's just call it like 90,000 or so. ▶ 11:10

Their own position: Bought. if I'm putting on my long-term investor hat, I actually am adding to some long-term baggies here.