Bitcoin: Is This The End Of The Cycle?

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved sideways to up; weeks moved sideways to down; months moved up to sideways.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): I think you get a bit of a bounce temp first and then if it's going to slink on down, you know, it probably happens ▶ 16:20 The call was wrong: 111.3k when said, 108.6k on 21 Oct 2025 (−2.5%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): But I would generally be looking for yet another test down to this green moving average, which right now is just below 107. ▶ 06:38 The call was right: 111.3k when said, 102.9k on 13 Nov 2025 (−7.5%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Sideways: hopefully Bitcoin holds between about 119 to the upside versus about let's call it 95 to the downside for the next month or two. ▶ 12:04 The call was wrong: 111.3k when said, 67.1k on 11 Feb 2026 (−39.8%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): actually not necessarily of the opinion just yet that the mark cycle is over. I think that there is potential for a higher term time frame higher low ▶ 10:00 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin closes below about 113.5k by tomorrow's (Wednesday's) close, then 107k (next weeks): especially if tomorrow is below the 113 12 number that we spoke about because that does very likely initiate a correction down to 107. ▶ 08:50
• If Bitcoin trades back above the last lower high, then 119–120k (next days): But hey, if Bitcoin can trade back above there, then well, uh I think you're going to see somewhere around 119 to maybe even 120 ▶ 15:19

Levels named

• 119k: Resistance (top of expected consolidation range): hopefully Bitcoin holds between about 119 to the upside versus about let's call it 95 to the downside for the next month or two. ▶ 12:04
• 116k: Resistance (last lower high): Does that bounce bring you back above, you know, that last lower high, which was 116? ▶ 15:06
• 113.3k: Support (bottom of the average daily returns range): Bitcoin has already tested the bottom side of this average returns range lows that was effectively at 113250. ▶ 00:47
• 107k: Target (4-day 55 EMA as minimum corrective target): I would generally be looking for yet another test down to this green moving average, which right now is just below 107. ▶ 06:38
• 104–107k: Target (area between last Friday's low and the 5-day 55 EMA): we can kind of come up with an area of interest between about 107, which is about Friday's uh last Friday's low, and about 104. ▶ 08:36
• 101–102k: Target (bottom side of the 0.382 level on the weekly HPDR): the bottom side of that 382 level is where about 101 102 and change. ▶ 09:35
• 95k: Support (bottom of expected consolidation range): hopefully Bitcoin holds between about 119 to the upside versus about let's call it 95 to the downside for the next month or two. ▶ 12:04

Their own position: Not said.