Bitcoin New Highs? We've Seen This Setup Before

On Bitcoin

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• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: ultimately, as long as Bitcoin is remaining above this pivot right here, I do I am biased towards the upside, but it won't be confirmed until we see this ▶ 07:08 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 124.2k when said, 102.1k on 5 Nov 2025 (−17.8%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: I do think we're going to continue with that 4-year cycle, meaning that Bitcoin, you know, and cryptos generally go parabolic into the end of this quarter. ▶ 04:58 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 124.2k when said, 78.1k on 3 Feb 2026 (−37.1%).

If this, then that

• If 5-day BBWP rises back above the 15th percentile with the stochastic momentum oscillator pointing up, which would put BTC about 30% higher, then 160k (next weeks, by within the next month, month and a half): And 30% to the upside from here would put Bitcoin at about 160 160,000 US dollars. ▶ 06:41
• If 5-day BBWP rises back above the 15th percentile with the stochastic momentum oscillator pointing up, upper end of the first standard deviation, then 186k (next weeks, by within the next month, month and a half): That would put Bitcoin closer to about 185 186 186,000 US dollars if I have to say right there. ▶ 06:59
• If Bitcoin falls below 118, then no target given (next weeks): Below 118, I believe that we're going to get my personal wish finally granted, which is, you know, a much more prolonged sideways and downside consolidation ▶ 04:37
• If 6-hour close above 123 confirms hidden bullish divergence, then 125k (next days): any sort of a closure above 123 by the end of that two uh 2-hour and 5-minute period, um then I would be biased towards again Bitcoin reapproaching more or less Wednesday's high at about 125. ▶ 11:47
• If Bitcoin trades or closes on the 4-hour or 6-hour above Wednesday's high, then no target given (next days): And if Bitcoin can even just trade above Wednesday's high, especially close even a 4-hour or a 6-hour time frame above Wednesday's highs, I would really be looking for this asset to uh to retest the all-time highs. ▶ 11:58

Levels named

• 125.7k: Resistance (top of the average returns range, looking for a pullback on first pass): Bitcoin play up to the average returns range highs. That would be about 120 125 700 meaning that if Bitcoin were to bounce up there or around there today, I would be looking for a pullback ▶ 01:28
• 121.2k: Support (bottom of the average returns range for Thursday, wicked off it on the first pass): once again, Bitcoin has wicked off of the bottom end of that average returns range low at 121 150 actually, which is quite literally the low of the day. ▶ 00:49
• 119k: Their view is wrong past this (5 EMA, closing below it on a daily would negate the immediate bullish bias): just whatever the 5-day um 5 EMA is, which is actually 119 now. ▶ 10:02
• 118k: Support (5-day median pivot; bullish bias while above, prolonged consolidation below): I generally have a bullish bias for Bitcoin as long as Bitcoin is above 118. ▶ 04:34

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• CME weekly and bi-weekly close on 10 Oct 2025: Tomorrow's going to be a big day. It's going to be the weekly closure for CME, which is not just a weekly closure, but also the bi-weekly closure.