Bitcoin Made New Highs.. But Is The Rally DONE?

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped up to down; months went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down: I do think Bitcoin will pull back at least a little bit lower like 122 and a half,000 bucks, 120, maybe even 121 and a half,000 bucks. ▶ 14:24 The call was right: 124.5k when said, 111.3k on 14 Oct 2025 (−10.6%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: until that number is really um violated, let's say, uh I'm generally going to be looking to the upside for this period of time. ▶ 05:43 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 124.2k when said, 102.1k on 5 Nov 2025 (−17.8%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: we're probably going to see a parabolic blowoff top in this quarter. Yes, that does mean that Bitcoin does likely reach much higher. ▶ 16:43 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 124.2k when said, 78.1k on 3 Feb 2026 (−37.1%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): that also implies that we are still on that same four-year schedule and we should be expecting the same thing that we've seen during all of these cycles, which is a monumental dump. ▶ 16:55 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 124.2k when said, 86.2k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.6%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin breaks below 118, then no target given (next weeks): Again, if Bitcoin does break break below 118, it's not impossible to see. It just implies different things are going on and that we should be expecting a much deeper pullback. ▶ 16:02
• If Bitcoin makes a new low below the October 1st low (about 114), then no target given (next weeks): if it did make a new low below basically, uh, the 1st of October, which would be about 114, at any point, it's probably going to be a good indication that this is going to be a negative closing month ▶ 06:15
• If Bitcoin continues new all-time highs without coming down below 118, then 150–205 (next months, by this quarter): Bitcoin does likely reach much higher. You know, I'd imagine at least 150, maybe as much as like 170, 180, or maybe even a Fibos Swani target gets hit at 205. ▶ 16:48

Levels named

• 150–205k: Target (parabolic blowoff top before a four-year-cycle dump): Bitcoin does likely reach much higher. You know, I'd imagine at least 150, maybe as much as like 170, 180, or maybe even a Fibos Swani target gets hit at 205. ▶ 16:48
• 164–165k: Target (average winning 5-day 5 EMA trade return of about 36%): and 36% to the upside would put Bitcoin somewhere around 164 165 region. ▶ 09:19
• 140k: Target (average full moon trade return over the next 14-15 days): that would put Bitcoin somewhere around $140,000 if it played out to the average. ▶ 04:56
• 113.5k: Target (average losing full moon trade of about 8%): uh 8% to the downside within the next couple weeks would put Bitcoin back down around 113500. ▶ 05:32
• 120: Support (weekly CME HPDR median): And where is the median now? It's at about 120. So again, if Bitcoin were to come back down to this number ▶ 12:51
• 118: Support (5-day 5 EMA and stochastic momentum pivot confluence; closing below destroys the bullish bias): Basically, Bitcoin can pull back to 118 and that's okay. Closing below 118, not okay. ▶ 11:04
• 114: Their view is wrong past this (October low; a new low below it suggests a negative closing month): if it did make a new low below basically, uh, the 1st of October, which would be about 114, at any point, it's probably going to be a good indication that this is going to be a negative closing month ▶ 06:15

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• Full moon signal (historically bullish for ~2 weeks) on 7 Oct 2025: the traditionally bullish moon the full moon has fired off as of today