This Bitcoin Signal Fired 88 Times. 72% Went Up. It Fired Last Night [Kalshi Live Trading]

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved waiting to down; weeks moved sideways to up; months moved waiting to up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Expects down: daily time frame, like I said, is right at that white 200 moving average. So, that is very likely going to be a bit of a pullback for today. ▶ 01:48 The call was wrong: 68.6k when said, 78k on 26 Aug 2026 (+13.8%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: somewhere in that pocket there probably where we see this move uh find its way in the next let's say like 3 to 6 weeks. ▶ 09:08 The call was right: 68.6k when said, 80.7k on 18 Sep 2026 (+17.8%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): So yeah again much again much better than any random day. So I still think Bitcoin's going higher here. ▶ 1:09:56 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): which is effectively Bitcoin's lows are in and we should be expecting some sideways and up from here, and pullbacks are probably going to be opportunities. ▶ 00:48 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin goes back down to 57,000, then no target given (this cycle): If it goes back down to 57,000 bucks, I think that the low is not in and I think that you are going to see much much much lower. ▶ 40:48
• If Bitcoin reclaims the previous May high (last lower high) by October/November, then no target given (this cycle, by October, November): if Bitcoin can reclaim that high again between now and let's say uh that would be like what, like October, November, some some somewhere around there. ▶ 04:31

Levels named

• 100k: Target (average 50% move after stochastic alignment signals): 50% from current price action puts you somewhere around 100,000 bucks. You know, fair enough. ▶ 05:54
• 72.8–78.5k: Target (zone between the 55 EMA and the 21 EMA): actually it's more like 72850 and the 21 EMA is now about 78500. ▶ 09:05
• 69k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (first rejection from the daily 200 SMA): I don't think Bitcoin is going to be closed above like 69,000 bucks today. ▶ 2:16:56
• 67k: Support (breakout pivot; he treats price above it as a breakout): as long as it's effectively above the breakout pivot at 67,000 bucks. Uh is I'm going to be looking at this as a breakout and positioning as such. ▶ 01:58
• 65.7k: Support (monthly pivot that the monthly close needs to hold above): This month's closure of course above about 65,700 would be the monthly monthly pivot. ▶ 01:02

Their own position: Holding, no leverage. I do hold a lot of lot of lot of coins on IBIT

On Ethereum

Changed since their last video: weeks moved waiting to up.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): probably more like September, uh, probably got a nice move up to somewhere around this previous high like 2400. ▶ 1:05:54 The call was right: 2.09k when said, 2.58k on 18 Sep 2026 (+23.9%).

Levels named

• 2.4k: Target (previous high): probably more like September, uh, probably got a nice move up to somewhere around this previous high like 2400. ▶ 1:05:54
• 2k: Support (round number combined with the daily 200 SMA): hopefully the next higher low, but at the very least, you know, just holding that as a nice even round number, which is effectively 2,000. ▶ 1:06:19

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• QE / bond buybacks, undated: No, I think it's I think it's um coming off the back of the news that basically they're going to do QE.