🚨Bitcoin's Macro-Low Signal Dies at Tonight's Close — Unless This Happens (LIVE)

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved waiting to down; cycle moved up to waiting.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down: I I do have to be looking for Bitcoin to come down early August at least. Rules are rules. ▶ 2:04:16 Said again while their call of 24 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 64.1k when said, 62.7k on 31 Jul 2026 (−2.1%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: as far as price action goes, I don't know, maybe that helps. the next uh the next couple week period. ▶ 15:52 Said again while their call of 16 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 64.8k when said, 63k on 15 Aug 2026 (−2.6%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Waiting on 63.8k (timeframe is our reading): Need to see it close today above 63 750 minimum minimum minimum. ▶ 12:33

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin closes today (monthly close) above 63,750 to keep the macro low case alive, then no target given (this cycle, by today): Need to see it close today above 63 750 minimum minimum minimum. ▶ 12:33
• If Bitcoin closes back above 63,000 (reclaiming the Reb ribbons red line), then no target given (next weeks): Bitcoin would simply need to just close back above 63,000 bucks and at that point highly highly highly highly highly probable to rally into these gray dots ▶ 16:56
• If 3-day timeframe closes below the 62,685 low of the previous period, then no target given (next weeks): still needs to close below the 62685 low um from the previous period. And that would very likely get price action back down to about 60,500 to 615. ▶ 18:23

Levels named

• 63.8k: Support (minimum close needed to validate one of the macro low conditions): Need to see it close today above 63 750 minimum minimum minimum. ▶ 12:33
• 63.4k: Resistance (monthly 55 EMA on CME, first line of hope): That's the one that's pivoted now at actually actually on CME at 63,400. ▶ 16:41

Their own position: Short. I'm still holding my short 20 66 and a half thousand calls for Bitcoin here. In fact, I'll start off the stream exactly with that.

On Ethereum

Changed since their last video: days moved up to waiting.

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• Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on 1.84k: you haven't you haven't gotten the breakdown conditions just yet. That would be requiring a daily closure below about 1845. ▶ 1:31:24

If this, then that

• If Ethereum closes the bi-weekly above 1900 on Sunday, then no target given (next months, by Sunday): life a lot easier if it closed uh Sunday above 1900. At that point, I think you actually have a low forming here. ▶ 1:30:56
• If Ethereum daily close below about 1845, then 1.7–1.75k (next days): daily closure below about 1845. If you do that, then sure. Yeah, I could be looking for that move down to not necessarily 1500, but 1,700 1750-ish region ▶ 1:31:28

Levels named

• 1.9k: Resistance (bi-weekly close above would suggest a low is forming): life a lot easier if it closed uh Sunday above 1900. At that point, I think you actually have a low forming here. ▶ 1:30:56
• 1.84k: Support (daily close below confirms breakdown conditions): That would be requiring a daily closure below about 1845. ▶ 1:31:26
• 1.7–1.75k: Target (possible bear-trap reversal zone if 1845 breaks): daily closure below about 1845. If you do that, then sure. Yeah, I could be looking for that move down to not necessarily 1500, but 1,700 1750-ish region ▶ 1:31:28

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• FOMC held rates 9-3 with three dissents for a hike, undated: the FOMC holding those interest rates 9 to3. Three regional presidents uh dissented for a hike