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🚨 Party Like Its 1999 (SOXX Rally). Bitcoin's First 200 SMA Test in 6 Months

Krown · · 2:02:18 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $81,7044-hour candle close · 6 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

ETH near publication: $2,3594-hour candle close · 6 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

  • Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up: I think that you will officially hit it in, you know, the shortest term here ▶ 26:03 Said again while their call of 30 Apr 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 76.5k when said, 79.9k on 7 May 2026 (+4.5%).
  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down: if Bitcoin does play out a pullback that like I'm kind of expecting, you know, maybe in a month or two or sorry, maybe actually in in about a month ▶ 56:07 Said again while their call of 28 Apr 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 76.1k when said, 72.9k on 28 May 2026 (−4.1%).

If this, then that

  • If Bitcoin trades well above the 83,200 short liquidation level, then 85k (next days): see Bitcoin in it way above 83200, I'd be expecting another one of those uh volatile breakouts or sorry, just volatile um continuation moves. At that point, you're probably looking at 85 minimum. ▶ 30:08
  • If Bitcoin closes daily below 78,150 (Revan Ribbons midband), which would get Bitcoin on a reversal, then no target given (next weeks): my uh medium-term analys until Bitcoin's below 78150 on a daily closing basis. That probably is going to be good enough to get Bitcoin on a reversal ▶ 28:15

Levels named

  • 100k: Target (best-case scenario from average gains of the 5 EMA setup): 37% puts Bitcoin at basically 100,000 bucks. That puts Bitcoin at 100,000 bucks. ▶ 32:52
  • 87k: Target (best-case top for this rally): I think at best this rally gets to like 87,000 bucks again for Bitcoin. ▶ 13:10
  • 85k: Target (green 55 EMA as minimum target after 5/21 EMA cross): while I still think that your $85,000 target would get hit or my $85,000 target would get hit, ▶ 30:41
  • 83.2k: Resistance (short liquidation levels stacked here): liquidation levels um for 3day, 7-day, and 30-day all stacked at 30 or sorry, 83200 ▶ 29:54
  • 80.2k: Support (bottom end of the upper red band on Revan Ribbons): The bottom end of that red band is 80,200. So, you know, short-term basing around there is fine. ▶ 28:07
  • 80k: Support (long liquidation level; losing it calls for caution): to the downside. The long liquidation level is now coming in around 80,000 bucks. ▶ 30:19
  • 78.2k: Support (Revan Ribbons midband; above it is technically bullish): According to the Revan Ribbons and even the midband is all the way at like 78,150. ▶ 27:05
  • 75.3k: Their view is wrong past this (previous higher low from late April; taking it out confirms a full reversal): if it does take out that previous higher low from late April here at 75 uh 75300. ▶ 27:23
  • 65–70k: Support, expected to hold (expected base after a swift rejection, next macro higher low): Bases again, somewhere between 65 and 70,000 bucks, and that's probably going to be your next like macro higher low. ▶ 33:54

Their own position: Not said.

On Ethereum

Changed since their last video: days flipped up to down; weeks moved up to waiting; cycle flipped up to down.

Views

  • Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): It could pull back all the way to like 2275 ▶ 1:47:41 The call was right: 2.36k when said, 2.24k on 13 May 2026 (−5.2%).
  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Waiting on 2.43k (timeframe is our reading): you will validate a breakout above 2430 on a daily closing basis and I'd be looking at 2,800 or 27 to 2,800. ▶ 1:47:28
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): This thing wants to go back down to those lows. And if I had to guess lower over time ▶ 1:48:38 Said again while their call of 12 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 12 Dec 2026, against 3.07k when said.

If this, then that

  • If ETH breaks out above 2430 on a daily close, conditioned on Bitcoin holding, then no target given (next weeks): you will validate a breakout above 2430 on a daily closing basis and I'd be looking at 2,800 or 27 to 2,800. ▶ 1:47:28

Levels named

  • 2.43k: Resistance (breakout level for another leg up): you will validate a breakout above 2430 on a daily closing basis and I'd be looking at 2,800 or 27 to 2,800. ▶ 1:47:28
  • 2.27k: Support (possible depth of a pullback after 4-hour bearish divergence): It could pull back all the way to like 2275 ▶ 1:47:41
  • 2.22k: Their view is wrong past this (no reason to be bearish above this on a daily close): bearish on this particular one. As long as you're above 2220 on a daily closing basis. ▶ 1:47:47

Their own position: Not said.

2 items read from this video were left out: the quote or number could not be found in the captions.