Bitcoin Targets $74K | Oil Topping & SPX Weakening

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from leaning up to expecting up; weeks moved sideways to up; months went from leaning sideways to expecting sideways.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Expects up (timeframe is our reading): I still think that this one's going back up to last week's high. I think that that's a very very very very very uh high probability play right now. ▶ 56:32 Said again while their call of 5 Mar 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 71.7k when said, 70.3k on 12 Mar 2026 (−1.8%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: I actually do think that that is possible, you know, here in late March, maybe in early April. ▶ 16:20 Said again while their call of 23 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 65.7k when said, 70.8k on 25 Mar 2026 (+7.9%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Sideways: then from there, I would just expect a range between the five and the 21 for the next quarter on this is going to get ▶ 33:58 Said again while their call of 11 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 66.5k when said, 62.7k on 11 Jun 2026 (−5.7%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): I think that we're a lot closer to a low than we are not personally. ▶ 21:17 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin closes above 71692 today, forcing the 5/21 EMA cross on CME, then no target given (next days, by today): 71692 is what is required to close above today in order to force that cross today. ▶ 26:14
• If Bitcoin trades below Monday's low at 65830, then no target given (next days): if Bitcoin trades below Monday's low at 65830, then yeah, I do think that we will get that wash out to the downside ▶ 27:28

Levels named

• 77–80k: Target (possible upside if the daily signal gives a continuation): That is what we would expect if Bitcoin is going to mount an assault to like 77,000 or 80,000 bucks. ▶ 16:15
• 72.8–72.9k: Target (Raven ribbons 12-hour short-term target): this one's giving also a short-term target of 72850 to 72,900 or so, something like that. ▶ 36:26
• 71.5k: Target (Raven ribbons 4-hour short-term target): short-term it'd still be given a target of 71450 basically in like very very short term. ▶ 35:44
• 65.8k: Their view is wrong past this (Monday's low is the point of failure for the bounce): if Bitcoin trades below Monday's low at 65830, then yeah, I do think that we will get that wash out to the downside ▶ 27:28
• 61k: Support (short put spread expiring March 27 stays profitable above this level): And essentially, as long as Bitcoin is above 61,000 bucks, I will be making moon, which is good. ▶ 17:09

Their own position: Bought. full disclosure, I did buy low $60,000 territory as well. I did.

Dates named

• Speaker's short put spread expires on 27 Mar 2026: as this one will expire on March 27th fully.