Bitcoin Price Action LIVE - FOMC DAY

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved up to waiting; cycle flipped up to down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on a level (timeframe is our reading): if you know whichever one of these sides gets taken out first again on a closing basis is the side that I'm going to gravitate towards and favor ▶ 33:36
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: Now I do want to state my bias is still on a short term rally a short term slash medium term rally in December. ▶ 33:20 Said again while their call of 7 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 89.6k when said, 93.6k on 6 Jan 2026 (+4.6%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): I am still more or less skeptical upon the continuation of this bull market. ▶ 11:43 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 124.2k when said, 86.2k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.6%).

If this, then that

• If closure above 93,800 resolves the consolidation to the upside, then 100k (next weeks): any sort of a closure above 93,800 does resolve it to the upside and does imply target into the low 100s ▶ 32:53
• If close below Sunday's low at 87,784, then no target given (next weeks): Sunday's low at 87,784 as a major pivot that if closed below I would be expecting Bitcoin to retest the lows of November and probably create new lows from there ▶ 33:07
• If Bitcoin finishes today above 92,600 forcing the reverse moving average cross, then no target given (next weeks, by today): Bitcoin must finish today above 92,600 in order to force this cross and then yeah that green that green moving average becomes a legitimate target. ▶ 38:23
• If rally gets rejected below 107.5k on a lower high, then no target given (this cycle): it needs to exceed 107 and a half. If it if it doesn't do that if it gets rejected below that on a lower high I look at that as confirmation of a bull trap ▶ 35:44

Levels named

• 99k: Resistance (periphery of the range where a post-FOMC scalp can be taken): You got about 99,000 bucks to the upside and you got about 80,000 bucks to the downside ▶ 1:35:04
• 97.6k: Target (55 EMA as minimum corrective target if the 4/21 EMA cross confirms): going to be the green moving average to the 55 EMA which is 97,600. ▶ 37:57
• 93.8k: Resistance (closing above resolves the month-long consolidation upward): any sort of a closure above 93,800 does resolve it to the upside and does imply target into the low 100s ▶ 32:53
• 87.8k: Support (Sunday's low is the last higher low and a major pivot): from Sunday's low at 87,784 as a major pivot that if closed below I would be expecting Bitcoin to retest the lows of November ▶ 33:07
• 80k: Support (periphery of the range where a post-FOMC scalp can be taken): You got about 99,000 bucks to the upside and you got about 80,000 bucks to the downside ▶ 1:35:04

Their own position: Holding. But for right now, you know, just holding this, letting time work for me, letting time decay.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): I think that this rally actually could go up significantly towards 3,800 or maybe even 4,000 bucks again. ▶ 1:06:45 Said again while their call of 26 Nov 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 2.93k when said, 2.92k on 26 Dec 2025 (−0.1%), under the 4% it takes to count.

Levels named

• 3.8–4k: Target (hidden bullish divergence on the five-day and weekly time frames): I think that this rally actually could go up significantly towards 3,800 or maybe even 4,000 bucks again. ▶ 1:06:45

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• FOMC rate decision and Powell press conference on 10 Dec 2025: with the FOMC coming up and I believe it's what, 3 hours from now, there are a few things to prepare for