Bitcoin $105,800: THE SKY IS FALLING!

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped down to up; weeks flipped up to down; months moved down to sideways; cycle moved up to waiting.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Expects up: I think it probably closes somewhere around here today and then we initiate that bounce coming into early next week. Something like that. ▶ 42:40 Said again while their call of 14 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 111.3k when said, 108.6k on 21 Oct 2025 (−2.5%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down: I think that's a real possibility that we see that happen next week or the week after that. ▶ 58:02 Said again while their call of 14 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 111.3k when said, 102.9k on 13 Nov 2025 (−7.5%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Sideways: the more and more that I do think Bitcoin's rangebound here at best for a while. ▶ 25:09 Said again while their call of 14 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 111.3k when said, 67.1k on 11 Feb 2026 (−39.8%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Waiting on a level (timeframe is our reading): So, I don't want to be calling like bare market until at least we get some like that. ▶ 26:05

If this, then that

• If If Bitcoin bounces from around 98,000 to about 115 and gets rejected there, he would turn very bearish and say the bull market is over, then no target given (this cycle): if Bitcoin were to come down to let's say like 98,000 bucks, rallies up to, you know, 115. I'm not saying it's going to be exactly there, but maybe somewhere around there. ▶ 31:56
• If If Bitcoin finishes the month below 116, the monthly crosses down and corrections can come below 100,000, then 100k (next months, by end of this month): Bitcoin finishes below 116. And this is also going to have a little bit of bearish divergence on it. And at that point, uh, I really do think that corrections could come decently below 100 100,000 bucks ▶ 44:19

Levels named

• 118–119k: Target (382 retracement level on the daily HPDR): I think it's more likely to get closer to that 382 level here. So maybe that's like 118 or 119 still. ▶ 41:05
• 98k: Support (weekly green moving average has held major lows this cycle): that is around 98,000 bucks. So, if Bitcoin does get down around there, well, that would be another area of interest for a bounce. ▶ 38:29
• 90k: Support (would still be a monthly higher low): but still, even even Bitcoin coming down to like 90,000 bucks, that would be a monthly higher low. ▶ 44:32
• 114: Target (daily HPDR median as a minimum bounce target): that'd be a very obvious bounce target for Bitcoin. Somewhere around 114. ▶ 40:43

Their own position: Holding, no leverage; would buy at 100k. I will actually buy some more long-term spot Bitcoin relatively soon. Uh, again, I will probably buy when Bitcoin's somewhere around 100,000 bucks.

On Ethereum

Changed since their last video: days flipped down to up; months moved up to waiting.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): So while I do think that you can bounce here and easily bounce up to like 41 or 4200. ▶ 1:19:47 The call was right: 3.78k when said, 3.95k on 24 Oct 2025 (+4.4%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Waiting on 3.47k (timeframe is our reading): incredibly important for Ethereum, if it is going to be long-term, okay, that it holds above that low from last Friday, that would be 3467. ▶ 51:58

If this, then that

• If If Ethereum takes out last week's low it is hard not to see it fall to 3,000 or below, then 3k (next weeks): if Ethereum does take out last week's low, I mean, it's really hard not to see it come down. I don't know, 3,000 even or or maybe even below there. ▶ 53:28

Levels named

• 4.75k: Resistance (the high that produced the big drop): You need to pop back above, in my opinion, you need to really get back above about honestly 4750. ▶ 1:19:35
• 3.65k: Support (possible short-term test lower before a bounce): this one actually does look to me like it wants to maybe test a little bit lower first, like 3650 and then bounce. ▶ 1:19:18
• 3.47k: Support (last Friday's low is the key level to hold): incredibly important for Ethereum, if it is going to be long-term, okay, that it holds above that low from last Friday, that would be 3467. ▶ 51:58

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• Monthly candle close on 31 Oct 2025: it will be at the end of this month in two weeks. And that one's going to be crossing to the downside for the first time in a while if Bitcoin finishes below 116.