A HUGE BITCOIN TRAP IN THE MAKING... *extreme warning*

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: months went from expecting down to leaning down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): I personally still think on the immediate short term it's going to be falling a little bit lower. ▶ 16:20 Said again while their call of 5 Jun 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 62.7k when said, 63.5k on 12 Jun 2026 (+1.3%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Expects down: So, a red June close is going to be, of course, quite inevitable at this point here. ▶ 01:42 Said again while their call of 11 May 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 82.2k when said, 61.7k on 10 Jun 2026 (−24.9%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): even though I still think we're most likely going to create a lower low here. ▶ 03:40 Said again while their call of 5 Mar 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 72.5k when said, 61.4k on 3 Jul 2026 (−15.3%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up: and the Bitcoin top of the next cycle is set to occur in 2029 here, which is still quite far away. ▶ 10:34 Said again while their call of 23 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 108.4k when said, 81.9k on 23 Oct 2026 (−24.4%).

If this, then that

• If S&P 500 comes down even more, then no target given (next weeks): So, if the S&P 500 is going to come down even more, it could drag Bitcoin even further towards the downside. ▶ 13:47

Levels named

• 47–60k: Support, expected to hold (expected bear market bottom range): It's going to be bottoming between $60,000 and worst case $47,000. ▶ 04:16
• 60k: Support (bottom so far, where the short was closed): we exactly closed our short position on $60,000, which was so far the bottom here. ▶ 01:10
• 47k: Support, expected to hold (350-week moving average expected to hold): I personally don't think Bitcoin is going to go below the 350-week moving average, which is, if you look at this chart right here, sitting around $47,000. ▶ 04:56

Their own position: Holding, no leverage. So, I'm still accumulating on spot here for for especially my Bitcoin right now here.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

Views

• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): I personally think that Ethereum is still going to go to about $1,000. ▶ 14:18 Said again while their call of 11 May 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 2.37k when said, 2.49k on 8 Sep 2026 (+5.0%), under the 12% it takes to count.

Levels named

• 1k: Target (2018 all-time high wick and 2023 bear market low): I personally think that Ethereum is still going to go to about $1,000. ▶ 14:18
• 650: Their view is wrong past this (worst-case drawdown the speaker thinks is unlikely): we can suffer to go down all the way to about $650, which most likely in my opinion is not going to be happening. ▶ 16:02

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• Bitcoin halving in early 2028, undated: the halving in 2028 is most likely set to be happening somewhere in the beginning of 2028.