MY LAST BITCOIN WARNING...

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle flipped up to down.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Expects down (timeframe is our reading): And all my analysis basically confirms that ultimately Bitcoin is going to be creating a slight little move towards the downside. ▶ 02:29 Said again while their call of 7 Apr 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 68.8k when said, 80.8k on 7 May 2026 (+17.5%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects down (timeframe is our reading): the seasonality is currently clearly telling us that we do still have some lower size to go here. ▶ 08:33 Said again while their call of 9 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 122k when said, 82.4k on 9 Oct 2026 (−32.5%).

Levels named

• 81k: Resistance (long side liquidity built up to that level could be squeezed out): And I can currently see that all the way up to about $81,000, there is still some long side liquidity being built up. ▶ 01:58
• 68–70k: Target (partial profit-taking zones along the way down): I will be locking in some more profits along the way here, around the 68, around the 70, ▶ 08:09

Their own position: Short, with leverage. I do have my trade open. If it were to go towards $81,000, I will just add more into towards my Bitcoin short position.

Dates named

• FOMC meeting on 29 Apr 2026: we are having an FOMC in 36 hours this Wednesday.