Bitcoin's October Setup: 10 of 14 Green, $94,000 Within 30 Days

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved up to sideways.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Sideways (timeframe is our reading): So I do think that Bitcoin very likely does hold this one. And then we're just in a period for a little bit of sideways. ▶ 05:04 The call was right: 83.6k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (+2.4%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: I would think Bitcoin is a lot more likely to at least be above $80,000, sorry, not $80,000, but $90,000 at some point in October or November. ▶ 09:10 Said again while their call of 18 Sep 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 81.2k when said, 80.9k on 18 Oct 2026 (−0.4%), under the 2.5% it takes to count.
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: And then by end of year, $100,000 is more likely than $70,000 in the way that we've been looking at these things. ▶ 09:18 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): I'm still looking at this as, you know, we're kind of in the early trend transition of a bear marketable market. ▶ 16:17 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin tests the 6-hour 55 EMA and holds it (no close more than 1% below), then no target given (next days, by in the next four bars after the test): But ultimately, we'd be expecting Bitcoin to bounce if it simply just holds that in the next four bars after the test. ▶ 04:10

Levels named

• 100k: Target (seasonality and probabilistic setups point to above 100k this year): I do think Bitcoin gets above 100,000 bucks at least. ▶ 17:54
• 90k: Target (October and November seasonality stats): I would think Bitcoin is a lot more likely to at least be above $80,000, sorry, not $80,000, but $90,000 at some point in October or November. ▶ 09:10
• 82.8k: Support (finishing the quarter above the Q2 wick high would form a bullish engulfing quarterly candle): all Bitcoin used to do in order to solidify this is to finish out tomorrow Wednesday above 82818 ▶ 14:05
• 82.7k: Support (200 moving average aligned with the last trending lower high; closing above is historically good, below is bad): And that number actually is very, very, very important here. 82,666 basically. That is effectively that last trending lower high. ▶ 02:17
• 82.7k: Target (6-hour corrective setup minimum target to the green 55 EMA): So technically speaking, that green 55 EMA, which is guess where 82,663 US dollars, still incredibly likely to be hit. ▶ 03:05
• 81.8k: Support (1% below the 55 EMA is the hold threshold): We could see that would be about 81,850. So technically speaking, Bitcoin come down around there. ▶ 04:00
• 80k: Support (trending higher low, line in the sand): That would be the trending higher low here, which is basically 80,000 bucks. ▶ 05:23

Their own position: Bought, no leverage. let's go right close to the current market and buy 100 derps of Bitcoin like I said, on Coinbase.

Dates named

• Fed decision in October (maintains rates), undated: So the Fed actually maintains rates in October. Another catalyst, perhaps, in the backgrounds here.
• Daily, weekly, monthly and quarterly close on 30 Sep 2026: Wednesday's closure at 8 p.m. Eastern of time that is when the daily weekly monthly and quarterly all close.