Bitcoin's Overbought Signal: 12 of 13 Times, +26% Within 4 Weeks

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: months went from leaning up to expecting up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Sideways: Bitcoin probably gonna be like like slight, you know, sideways, slightly up during during early October. ▶ 13:20 Said again while their call of 29 Sep 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 83.6k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (+2.4%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Expects up: we do start to expect Bitcoin, like I said, to take those next legs up to the upside around around about the midpoint of this month of October. ▶ 01:48 Said again while their call of 18 Sep 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 81.2k when said, 80.9k on 18 Oct 2026 (−0.4%), under the 2.5% it takes to count.
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Expects up: look, if I'm going to bet on a fucking direction, direction, basically for like the next half year, it's to the upside. ▶ 07:11 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin closes a daily below the Revin Ribbons mid band, then 83–84k (next days): if Bitcoin does start to come back down below that number and close a daily below that number I I would be very much looking for a corrective move down at least between 83 to 84 thousand dollars ▶ 12:16
• If Bitcoin stays above the Revin Ribbons mid band at 85,000, then no target given (next days): as long as Bitcoin is is above the mid band, 85,000 bucks on on the Revin Ribbons indicator, $87,000 to 88 and a half thousand dollars is is a legitimate target. ▶ 13:36

Levels named

• 100k: Target (weekly stochastic setup median return of about 26% in a month): Bitcoin will get around about $100,000. Actually, in fact, a little bit above $100,000. I suppose this would be by the end of October. ▶ 01:01
• 90k: Target (historical return studies after three green months): Do I think Bitcoin would get above 90,000 bucks before end of year? Yeah, Yeah, I do. I think it probably even does it this month. ▶ 08:32
• 83–84k: Support (expected bounce / higher low area on a pullback): short term, you know, downside targets for bounces somewhere between like 83 to 84,000 bucks. ▶ 12:55
• 80k: Support (Krown pivot indicator higher low pivoted near 80k): So as long as Bitcoin's above 80,000 bucks, I just have no issues in the sort of medium or long term. ▶ 12:47

Their own position: Bought, no leverage. we're going to buy 100 dollars of Bitcoin right here or right now.

Dates named

• FOMC rate decision next week, undated: yeah, we could probably bet on a hold Generally probably gonna be good for markets
• CPI next week on 14 Oct 2026: next week there is kind of a big deal one obviously got CPI Which is usually one of the stars of the month