Bitcoin Live: The Dip Is Here. Hold $83,367 Tonight

On Bitcoin

No change since their last video.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Expects down: So I do think that Bitcoin will graze that area yet again. Uh and until that is fulfilled I really do not expect any sort of like major massive bounce. ▶ 19:11 Said again while their call of 3 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 84.5k when said, 82.6k on 10 Oct 2026 (−2.2%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: And that's where I'd be expecting around the timing for the next potential leg up. ▶ 25:35 Said again while their call of 18 Sep 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 81.2k when said, 80.9k on 18 Oct 2026 (−0.4%), under the 2.5% it takes to count.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading): I think it's time for me to put my money where my mouth is because again, longterm, I am still bullish here. ▶ 28:27 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If The green 55 EMA holds price on a closing basis after the corrective test., then 85k (next weeks, by within the next 10day period): if we were to measure about just over 3% from that 55 EMA as where it is right now, well, that put Bitcoin back at around you know, $85,000. ▶ 20:55
• If The current consolidation support gives way., then 80–80.4k (next days): Even if it breaks below there, I do think Bitcoin has a nice solid run towards about 80,000 bucks or 80,400. ▶ 25:49
• If Bitcoin breaks below the trending higher low at $80,000 on a closing basis., then 79k (next days): That is effectively 80,000 bucks. If Bitcoin breaks below there, I do think you have a run towards $79,000. ▶ 26:04

Levels named

• 85k: Target (The typical bounce after a held corrective EMA test has a median return just over 3%.): well, that put Bitcoin back at around you know, $85,000. Of course, might be a little more than that, might be a little bit less ▶ 21:00
• 82.5k: Target (The green 55 EMA is the minimum corrective target and aligns with the consolidation low.): green 55 EMA as a minimum target for a magnet for price action which right now is 82,500 basically the low of the pre or of this current consolidation. ▶ 19:03
• 82.3k: Their view is wrong past this (Opening and closing below the two-day 200 simple moving average would be a major warning.): Yeah, coming in around about 82250. If it started to close below there, that would be concerning ▶ 34:12
• 82–82.2k: Their view is wrong past this (A close below this area would represent a meaningful deviation below the green 55 EMA test.): you need to see a closure you know I would say in this case it would need to be below about $82,000 or 82200 ▶ 20:30
• 80–80.4k: Support (The next bounce area if current support fails, around the trending higher low.): I do think Bitcoin has a nice solid run towards about 80,000 bucks or 80,400. uh that would be my next sort of bounce area if this current one does give way. ▶ 25:51
• 80k: Support, expected to hold (Higher-time-frame consolidations and bullish engulfing candles favor holding this area on closes.): I I don't think that we're going to see below 80,000 bucks. Um especially on on closing bases. ▶ 26:48
• 79k: Target (The daily green 55 EMA is his lowest target for the current correction.): But that would be potentially down to 79,000 bucks. That is what my worst case scenario for this um correction kind of is right now. ▶ 19:44
• 78k: Target (An approximately 10% pullback is his absolute worst case while remaining bullish.): I I really do think like worst worst worst worst absolute worst case scenario would honestly probably be like 78,000 bucks, at least in my book. ▶ 15:16
• 75k: Their view is wrong past this (A deeper pullback would undermine the bullish interpretation.): but Bitcoin coming down to 75,000 bucks or below is not a [ __ ] good sign. ▶ 16:36

Their own position: Bought, no leverage. which I'm going to buy 100 Derpenas of Bitcoin right here, right now.

Dates named

• FOMC minutes release; little expected market impact on 8 Oct 2026: FOMC minutes today. Yes. Yes, indeed they do come out. I don't think it matters that much, man.