Bitcoin: Q4 2026

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved sideways to waiting; months moved waiting to down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on a level: don't expect a lot of updates from me this weekend. I don't know what Bitcoin's going to do. ▶ 19:13
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down: be open-minded because this here could still open us up to the Q4 weakness that we've talked about previously. ▶ 20:01 Said again while their call of 24 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 21 Nov 2026, against 65.1k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin accepts back below the range, then no target given (next months): if Bitcoin accepts back below the range, right? If it accepts back below the range, then the argument is that could it not just simply go back to the range lows? ▶ 05:59
• If The 10-year Treasury yield drops into late 2026, then no target given (next months): what happens if if the 10-year drops into late 2026 like it dropped into 2022 and 2018, then is it not possible that Bitcoin finds that Q4 weakness all the same ▶ 08:36
• If Bitcoin closes back above the range, then no target given (next months): either either you get a a um a drop back down to at least the bottom of the range or this is or Bitcoin closes right back above it and we head higher. ▶ 18:29

Levels named

• 60k: Target (Possible return toward the bottom of the range before a rebound.): if we just go back down to 60 and then go back up, um I just wonder would we have the the juice to get through at that point? ▶ 17:45
• 57k: Support (Summer low compared with the summer 2018 low.): What's interesting is that the low to the downside was around 57,000 which is similar to the low that we had in the summer of 2018 ▶ 04:27

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• September rate hike, undated: after the September rate hike in prior midterm years, you can see that in prior midterm years, Bitcoin did not break down for the first 40 or 50 days.