Bitcoin Just Did Something Only Done 8 Times. All Up Within 12 Months

On Bitcoin

No change since their last video.

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• Next days (next 1–7 days): Sideways: which first portion of October between, you know, the 1st and the 15th, let's say, is very likely to be sideways and probably boring. ▶ 01:36 Said again while their call of 9 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 83.2k when said, 82.6k on 16 Oct 2026 (−0.7%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Expects up: But the back half of October is where we really do expect Bitcoin to take another leg up. ▶ 01:46 Said again while their call of 18 Sep 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 81.2k when said, 80.9k on 18 Oct 2026 (−0.4%), under the 2.5% it takes to count.
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: but once you get to 3 months and onwards, typically it's big legs up from there, especially at the six-month mark right here. ▶ 08:38 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up: And I am for for all of the long-term setups that I see, I expect Bitcoin to be higher one year from now. ▶ 19:00 Said again while their call of 9 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 9 Oct 2027, against 83.2k when said.

If this, then that

• If The corrective test of the daily 55 EMA remains unfilled, then no target given (next days): Bitcoin has a, you know, a a high probability to play out some sort of a wash out move down there. Uh, as long as that test has not been filled. ▶ 13:45
• If An open and close below the referenced trending lower high, then no target given (next weeks): it's an open and close below that number that actually would be traditionally problematic if you will. Um so it basically be like earliest next week that we could you know potentially see something nasty. ▶ 12:45

Levels named

• 200k: Target (Approximate price implied by the historical median twelve-month return; he considers this projection self-indulgent.): Yeah, 200 200,000 bucks would kind of put you around that number. Again, this is including all previous instances since 2012. ▶ 06:48
• 140k: Target (He assigns a 70–75% probability to reaching this price or higher within a year, using lower-quartile returns after the EMA cross.): Well, 60% puts you at where it puts you at about 140,000 bucks. Both of these include basically new all-time highs. ▶ 07:39
• 90–95k: Target (Golden-cross historical returns suggest another leg up around day 40, roughly ten days ahead.): that's when you get a big uh you know big leg up um to about 20% returns which you know would put Bitcoin somewhere around about 90,000 to $95,000 ▶ 09:08
• 87.5k: Target (He favors Bitcoin trading above the October-high prediction-market threshold before month-end.): the the the Bitcoin October high above 87,500 for a 44 cents yes contract. Meaning that Bitcoin just needs to trade above there. ▶ 15:20
• 80k: Target (The corrective 55 EMA target is projected to rise above this price if the correction continues another week.): the green 55 EMA as the target will be dragged up probably above 80,000 bucks. ▶ 10:25
• 79.3k: Support (Remaining above the rising 55 EMA avoids major short-term concerns.): I don't really have any major issues with this as long as you're above that green 55 EMA again 70 79300 or so ▶ 11:52
• 75k: Their view is wrong past this (The last trending higher low is the boundary for treating the rally as failed.): As long as Bitcoin's above that last trending higher low, which is effectively 75,000 bucks. ▶ 11:46

Their own position: Bought, no leverage; would buy at 82.7k. it's time for me to buy some derps of Bitcoin. 100 derps, exactly. In fact, we're going to be buying it at 82680.

Dates named

• CPI release next Wednesday on 14 Oct 2026: We got CPI coming up. Um if memory serves correctly CPI is next Wednesday with PPI one day after. Both of those do matter
• PPI release one day after CPI on 15 Oct 2026: CPI is next Wednesday with PPI one day after. Both of those do matter
• FOMC meeting associated with the expected next leg up on 21 Oct 2026: the week following that which is getting into the back half of October which is where I expect things to start another leg up. Um that is actually your next FOMC meeting.