The Data Behind Bitcoin's Next Move | CryptoVizArt | Unbiased Ep. 5

On Bitcoin

Guest CryptoVizArt · not counted as CryptoQuant's view.

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• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): still we could have some like a slow step market go to 85 90 and I excuse myself by being so certain ▶ 42:28
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Sideways: meaning market is going to play around 83 a lot in coming months ▶ 50:59
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading): I do believe like we're going to have bull market earlier than everyone expected and we're going to have it like ▶ 01:18

If this, then that

• If if we just manage to go above 106 (top of the long-term holder supply band), then no target given (next months): But for any reason, if we just manage to go above 106, that is the early sign of almost very high confidence in recover getting to the all-time high ▶ 48:20
• If short-term holders reaccumulate above 77 for a couple of months and push their cost basis above the true market mean, then no target given (this cycle): Allow the short-term holder coins reaccumulate above 77. Push the short-term holder cost bases above it. then we are uh in very good position to say okay we are attacking last all-time high. ▶ 28:38

Levels named

• 126k: Target (recovery time ratio implies about 200 days to reclaim the last all-time high): 200 days to reclaim 126 from now. That is like almost what we trying to just imply here. ▶ 25:30
• 98–106k: Resistance (65-75 quantile of long-term holder supply has capped past recoveries): long-term holder and long-term holder right now this range is 98 I think to 106 I believe ▶ 48:02
• 77: Support (true market mean is the main anchor of the cycle and moves slowly): which is the anchor main anchor of cycle which is around 77 and it doesn't move much like that fast. ▶ 42:59
• 74: Support (short-term holder cost basis acts as a dynamic support): I have to remind the audiences that this 74.3 and short-term older cost spaces in general is a dynamic support. ▶ 53:29

Their own position: Not said.