Is Bitcoin Faking Us Out? Not Until This Line Breaks

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved sideways to down; weeks went from expecting up to leaning up; months flipped up to down; cycle went from leaning up to expecting up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Expects down: So, I do expect Bitcoin to try a little bit lower than where it's at right now towards that green 55 EMA. ▶ 05:48 The call was a draw: 81.7k when said, 81.8k on 29 Oct 2026 (+0.1%), under the 1% it takes to count.
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: we're probably going to be uh probably going to be higher within a month than not. ▶ 10:20 Said again while their call of 19 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 18 Nov 2026, against 81.9k when said.
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): what I think is probably going to be the next major correction sometime uh late December, early January, most likely. ▶ 04:43 Said again while their call of 30 Jun 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 58.4k when said, 80.6k on 28 Oct 2026 (+38.0%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up: still looking at uh, generally Bitcoin being bullish over the next year, more or less, very, very, very, very likely there. ▶ 05:33 Said again while their call of 9 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 9 Oct 2027, against 83.2k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin closes back above the last lower high at 84,280, then no target given (next weeks): likely to go sideways and up u but not confirmed not out of the woods again until you're back above that last lower high at 84280. ▶ 02:08
• If Bitcoin breaks below the last trending higher low (~80,100), then 76–76.5k (next days): if Bitcoin were to break below that last trending higher low, well, I would be looking for a correction down to about 76,000 or 76,500ish region, give or take something from that number. ▶ 02:14
• If Bitcoin reclaims about 82,100 (200 SMA) before end of day on the 5-day close, then no target given (next weeks, by before end of day): If Bitcoin if Bitcoin could make it a lot easier on us if it were to just reclaim about 82100 but by before end of day if it can do that ▶ 16:40

Levels named

• 91.3k: Target (median 2-month return after a 200 SMA reclaim, if the reclaim is confirmed): I imagine that puts Bitcoin deep into the $90,000 territory. So, let's see what it looks like right here. And yeah, about 91,350. ▶ 05:00
• 84.3k: Resistance (last lower high; a close above would denote a technical breakout): effectively that last lower high that we did see at 82 or sorry, not 80 but two, but 84,280 which was from yesterday's video. ▶ 00:49
• 82.1k: Resistance (200 SMA; reclaims historically led to upside over the following month): Now, I do want to acknowledge that Bitcoin is trading below that 200 C moving average as of right now. It is again 82,100. ▶ 03:59
• 80.1k: Support (trending higher low since September 21st; consolidation favors bulls while daily closes stay above): it's 80 sorry sorry it's 80,100 is what I mean to say as long as Bitcoin is closing you know daily do is above that number ▶ 01:26
• 76–76.5k: Target (where the next potential higher low would form if the 80,100 low breaks): I would be looking for a correction down to about 76,000 or 76,500ish region, give or take something from that number. ▶ 02:18

Their own position: Bought, no leverage. I'm going to DCA, my daily DCA for 100 Dpenos of Bitcoin.