Bitcoin Live: It's Over... (Again) Here's What i'm Watching

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from expecting down to leaning down; months flipped down to up; cycle went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): We are going to see this correction drag down a little bit lower. Um, like I said, at least that 55 EMA. And again, that's a minimum target. ▶ 16:46 Said again while their call of 22 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was a draw: 81.7k when said, 81.8k on 29 Oct 2026 (+0.1%), under the 1% it takes to count.
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): Like I would say, you know, based off of that, I would be expecting some sort of a bounce, some sort of a bounce on the 2-day time frame. ▶ 08:13 Said again while their call of 19 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 18 Nov 2026, against 81.9k when said.
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: Those are still very much valid and available and do suggest that generally we're looking at the next 3 to six months to be a bullish period. ▶ 17:58 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): the trend has not been reversed here in any meaningful fashion for higher term time frames that really matter for the long term. ▶ 17:41 Said again while their call of 9 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 9 Oct 2027, against 83.2k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin finishes below about 81,000 by tomorrow night's closure, firing the 2-day corrective setup, then 77.3k (next days, by by tomorrow night's closure): below 81 81,000 bucks by tomorrow night's closure, it will indeed fire off. And you know, almost always we're going to see a target down to that green 55 EMA as a minimum target right now. ▶ 04:43
• If Bitcoin breaks last week's low of 79,700 again, turning the speaker short-term bearish, then no target given (next days): But short-term I can absolutely get bearish if Bitcoin does break again. Last week's low 79,700. ▶ 08:36

Levels named

• 85k: Support (higher-term pivot for not turning macro bearish): bearish for Bitcoin as long as it's above again that $85,000 pivot right here. ▶ 08:33
• 79.7k: Support (last week's low; no short-term bearish view while closing above it): Uh but still last week's low at 79,700 or if you want to be super exact on Coinbase, it's going to be 79676. ▶ 04:16
• 78.6k: Target (open of the bimonthly candle): I would certainly be looking for a test of the open of this bimonthly time frame, which is 70 78,600. That is extremely likely. ▶ 35:03
• 77.5k: Support (bimonthly 5 EMA; a close below would be concerning): And if this thing were to close below the 5 EMA, which is 77,500, then yes, that would absolutely be concerning for sure. ▶ 34:45
• 77.3k: Target (minimum target of the 2-day corrective setup at the green 55 EMA): And you know, almost always we're going to see a target down to that green 55 EMA as a minimum target right now. That is 77,350 or so, or sorry, 77,292. ▶ 04:47
• 76–77k: Target (expected wick area if the correction plays out): I would very much be looking for the correction to drag lower. Again, I'm stating between somewhere of 76,000 to 77,000 bucks. ▶ 07:36
• 75k: Their view is wrong past this (major long-term pivot): Does not necessarily violate that long-term pivot right here. Again, $75,000. ▶ 09:08

Their own position: Bought; would buy at 79.8k. There we go. There's my order for 79776 filled almost immediately. Beautiful.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

No view on any horizon.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin breaks down, then 1.9–2k (next weeks): If Bitcoin breaks down, you're probably looking at this thing coming down to like 1,900 to 2,000 if I had to guess. ▶ 47:51

Levels named

• 2.42k: Resistance (4-hour trend does not reverse until price is back above): even on the 4hour time frame, you you're not going to reverse trend until you're back up about 2415 ▶ 48:18
• 2.36k: Target (general bounce target after bullish RSI divergence, the 21 EMA): The general target that I have for those um moves is somewhere around the 21 EMA, which which is right now 2362. ▶ 48:08
• 2.35k: Support (September low, now lost): Yeah, not great here on Ethereum. In fact, uh, that was about 2350. ▶ 28:00

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• FOMC meeting (Wednesday) on 28 Oct 2026: I would expect it to happen this week probably in alignment with the catalysts for FOMC and then some of the tech earnings as well
• Tech company earnings this week, undated: I would expect it to happen this week probably in alignment with the catalysts for FOMC and then some of the tech earnings as well
• US elections next week, undated: And then, of course, next week we're going to have some elections, so that should be interesting as well.