Is Bitcoin Putting In Its Next Major Low? Here's My Signal

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle went from leaning up to expecting up.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: we are in what is traditionally a full moon phase. And that is traditionally a more likely to be bullish phase for the next, you know, 14 to 15 days. ▶ 14:22 Said again while their call of 19 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 18 Nov 2026, against 81.9k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading): still a long-term upside is, you know, is is my base case. ▶ 11:21 Said again while their call of 9 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 9 Oct 2027, against 83.2k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin finishes today below 81,000, so the 2-day corrective setup fires, then 77.3k (next days, by before the end of tonight): assuming that Bitcoin is below there, then yes, that 55 EMA on the 2-day time frame, which is closer to 77,350, is a legitimate target. ▶ 11:04
• If Bitcoin loses 79,700 on a daily closing basis, then a short-term corrective move toward 775-785, then no target given (next days): which 79,700 on a daily time frame, I can't even be looking for that short-term corrective uh move to happen somewhere between like 775 to to 785, let's say. ▶ 12:11
• If Bitcoin trades back down and closes below 75,000, making the rally a bull trap, then no target given (this cycle): if Bitcoin actually were to come back down and trade and close more specifically below 75,000 bucks. that would be, you know, the nail in the coffin for me for this rally turning into what is effectively a bull trap. ▶ 12:34
• If Bitcoin finishes tonight above 79,200 so the 5-day 21/55 EMA cross happens, then 83% of the time green one month out, then no target given (next weeks, by tonight): assuming Bitcoin finishes tonight above 79,200, let's say, uh or I mean that quite literally is the number. Uh then 83% of the time you are green 1 month out and you're up a medium return of just over 10.5%. ▶ 08:13

Levels named

• 83.3k: Target (worst-case 4% bounce after the extreme put/call signal): That would be at about 83,250 or so. Just give you an idea. ▶ 05:45
• 81k: Resistance (reclaim would be a good first step toward validating a higher low): if Bitcoin does reclaim especially 81,000 bucks I said that that would be a pretty damn good first step towards um you know towards validating this as the next you know major higher low. ▶ 13:36
• 79.7k: Support (last week's low, daily close above keeps the corrective move from being expected): that would effectively be last week's low. As long as Bitcoin's closed above there, which 79,700 on a daily time frame, ▶ 12:09
• 79.2k: Support (5-day close above needed for the 21/55 EMA silver cross): which will require a closure by tonight above 79,200, which Bitcoin's more than 1,000 bucks above as of right now ▶ 06:32
• 77.3k: Target (2-day time frame 55 EMA as corrective target): assuming that Bitcoin is below there, then yes, that 55 EMA on the 2-day time frame, which is closer to 77,350, is a legitimate target. ▶ 11:04
• 75k: Their view is wrong past this (lower side boundary; a close below turns the rally into a bull trap): if Bitcoin actually were to come back down and trade and close more specifically below 75,000 bucks. that would be, you know, the nail in the coffin for me for this rally turning into what is effectively a bull trap. ▶ 12:34

Their own position: Bought. we're going to buy 100 Derpinos of Bitcoin right now.

Dates named

• FOMC rate decision on 28 Oct 2026: tomorrow's event with the FOMC, you know, could very easily produce some erratic price action where we get a W down there.