Bitcoin Q4 Dump (Live Show!) 2026-10-30 03:11

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks moved sideways to down.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on a level (timeframe is our reading): I'm kind of waiting to see does Bitcoin bounce at the bull market support band or not. ▶ 22:28
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down: the final drop would occur sometime potentially shortly after the midterms, right? I mean, likely within the next few weeks. ▶ 08:56 Said again while their call of 22 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 21 Nov 2026, against 81.8k when said.
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): I'm hopeful that that this market will just play out like it always has and Bitcoin will form its low in Q4 and then rally rally in 2027 ▶ 1:07:07 Said again while their call of 29 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 26 Feb 2027, against 80.2k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin bounces off 76K, heads back to 79-80K and spends a couple of days there, then no target given (next weeks): If Bitcoin bounces off of like 76K and and kind of heads back up to the 79 80K level and spends a couple of days there, then absolutely I would be in the camp ▶ 20:36
• If No support found and Bitcoin is down another 10% tomorrow, then no target given (next days, by tomorrow): But if we don't find support and you know tomorrow you wake up and and Bitcoin's down another 10% or something, that's when you might want to be a little bit less deterministic about when the low has to occur. ▶ 20:50
• If No support at the 21-week EMA and price breaks straight through it, then no target given (next days): is that we don't find support at the 21week EMA and we just break through it go straight down form the bottom before anyone can even process what's happening ▶ 08:05
• If Bitcoin finds support at the bull market support band for about a week, then no target given (next weeks): where Bitcoin actually finds support at the bull market support band for you know a week. And in that case, then the final drop would occur sometime potentially shortly after the midterms ▶ 08:46

Levels named

• 73–77k: Support (bull market support band): The bull market support band ranges from around 73K to around 77, right? ▶ 02:56
• 76.6k: Support (21-week EMA where the recent low printed; buyers expected there): low that Bitcoin printed was at around 76,000 642 and the 21week EMA is at 76,612. ▶ 03:09
• 73k: Support (200-day moving average): two day the 200 day is at 73. ▶ 59:28

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• US midterm elections, undated: the midterms are only like 5 days away with the FTX stuff that happened.
• Anthropic IPO, undated: comparison with the Anthropic IPO that's coming up later in November.