Bitcoin: The Q4 Dump is Here

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): And then we're going to clearly observe that it had a Q4 low. Okay, that is my guess. ▶ 20:04 Said again while their call of 22 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 21 Nov 2026, against 81.8k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): You drop into the 21week EMA, you bounce, and then you drop and then you build off of that low hopefully going into the 2027 bull market. ▶ 14:28 Said again while their call of 1 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 1 Feb 2027, against 78.9k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin comes back down and then bounces back up (the silver comparison), then no target given (this cycle): were to just simply come back down, you know, down here and then bounce back up, it might make it so that the 20, you know, whatever bull market we get, we get in 2027 would be more muted. ▶ 10:25
• If Bitcoin goes lower than the current drop, then no target given (this cycle): If Bitcoin were to go lower, then I I think you could have a more impressive bull market following that. ▶ 10:46

Levels named

• 83k: Resistance (prior range high; a couple of weeks spent below it tends to precede a larger drop): we also said that after you get two weeks below 83K, that's when the the sort of the larger drop tends to occur. ▶ 21:04

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• Anthropic IPO (speaker's guess of Nov 19) and Bitcoin's pattern around the SpaceX IPO on 19 Nov 2026: I'm going to guess maybe November 19th. And if you do that, it sort of lines up right with with what Bitcoin did
• Midterm elections, after which the final drop is expected, undated: perhaps like over the weekend into early next week and then after the midterms you get the final drop,