Bitcoin's Hack-Day Low: The One Number That Matters This Weekend

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: weeks flipped up to down; cycle went from leaning up to expecting up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down: I have a very difficult time seeing it rally even back above 77,000 bucks, you know, before end of day today, for example. ▶ 16:00 The call was open until 6 Nov 2026, against 76.9k when said.
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down: Even if you're the biggest bull of all time, I do think you should be expecting another sweep of those lows in early November. ▶ 09:28 The call was open until 29 Nov 2026, against 76.9k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up: I do want to say with my long-term analysis and that yes, Bitcoin very likely does have the macro lowin, ▶ 01:49 Said again while their call of 9 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 9 Oct 2027, against 83.2k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin closes under 75,000, then 66–67k (next weeks): if you close under 75,000 bucks, my base case personally, and maybe you have different ideas, may maybe you don't. Uh, but my base case is that Bitcoin comes down to like 66, 67, ▶ 1:37:02
• If Bitcoin gets back above 82,000, then no target given (next weeks): the second that Bitcoin gets back above 82,000 bucks is the second that I'm like just ▶ 1:39:46

Levels named

• 82k: Resistance (last lower high): 82,000 bucks again. That last lower high right there. ▶ 1:39:54
• 78.5k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (open of the last bimonthly candle): I would be expecting a retest of the open of last by monthly which is 78,500. But I would also be expecting a rejection around there again ▶ 12:43
• 77.4k: Target (5 EMA retest on the 4h bounce): what I'd be looking for the very very easy target which is extremely likely to get hit realistically no matter what honestly is 77400. ▶ 1:33:12
• 75k: Support (last weekly higher low; below it a much bigger slide): the technical line in the sand from my perspective is 75,000 bucks below there. ▶ 1:39:19
• 67.5k: Support (weekly 200 moving average test if 75k breaks): it very likely would initiate a test down at the weekly 200 moon average or somewhere around there. That is as of right now at 67,500. ▶ 15:21

Their own position: Bought, no leverage. I did buy a bigger bunch of IBIT um on this pullback.

Dates named

• Monthly and bimonthly close on 30 Oct 2026: you get the monthly closure for IBIT and CME futures today you know if it does close below some very specific levels