Bitcoin: Does November Hold the October Low?

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved down to sideways; weeks flipped down to up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Sideways: Bitcoin probably not doing all that much today. Um more or less rangebound between today's high and uh and last week's low. ▶ 03:43 The call was open until 9 Nov 2026, against 77.5k when said.
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: there is a good reason to be somewhat optimistic for this month of uh you know, of November and probably even December as well. ▶ 09:07 Said again while their call of 19 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 18 Nov 2026, against 81.9k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading): I don't think that Bitcoin is going to make a new macro low here, I do think that the macro low is still in. ▶ 09:28 Said again while their call of 9 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 9 Oct 2027, against 83.2k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin breaks the October low, then no target given (next months): We're probably in for a general uh red rest of the year. And that would be probably a situation where we do see Bitcoin below 70,000 bucks closer to the mid60s. ▶ 09:17
• If Bitcoin is not green by day number seven of November, then no target given (next weeks, by by day number seven): if we are not seeing green by day number seven, I think that this is not going to be a good month for Bitcoin. ▶ 22:09

Levels named

• 82k: Resistance (biggest pivot to the upside): Technically, $82,000 is the biggest pivot here. ▶ 43:58
• 78.8k: Resistance (high of the test of the previous bimonthly open): Uh, getting to a high of 78,762. ▶ 06:39
• 76.5k: Support (monthly red 5 EMA pivotal to hold above): And in this case, uh that is now coming in around 76,500. ▶ 18:22
• 76.1k: Their view is wrong past this (November is far more often green when it holds above the October low): It is effectively last week's low, which is 76,141. ▶ 08:51
• 75k: Their view is wrong past this (last daily trending higher low): my line in the sand is $75,000, no less on a weekly closing basis per or maybe even a daily if I want to be a little bit more cavalier. ▶ 06:49
• 65k: Target (worst-case downside even if he gets very bearish): I think worst case scenario would be like 65,000 bucks to the downside if that even happens to begin with. ▶ 17:56
• 62k: Their view is wrong past this (monthly stochastic momentum pivot to stay upside): The current pivot for for monthly stoast momentum to remain to the upside is almost $62,000 US. ▶ 17:24

Their own position: Bought. I'll be buying 100 Dpinos of Bitcoin right here, right now. a little bit under current market value

Dates named

• US midterm elections on 3 Nov 2026: tomorrow we do have a big event. We have the midterms for the US.