Bitcoin: Does Election Day Matter? 71% Green Within 30 Days

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped down to up; weeks flipped down to up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Expects up: statistically speaking, Bitcoin very likely to be green today. ▶ 18:16 The call was open until 10 Nov 2026, against 77.7k when said.
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: we really start to expect, you know, Bitcoin to to crawl its way upwards back into the $80,000 territory in this month of November. ▶ 11:08 Said again while their call of 19 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 18 Nov 2026, against 81.9k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading): my long-term view is that Bitcoin still very likely does have the macro low in ▶ 05:50 Said again while their call of 9 Oct 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 9 Oct 2027, against 83.2k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin loses the October low during November, then 65–66k (next months): but if it loses that low, it very, you know, it certainly does open up the possibility for Bitcoin to come down to about 65 to 66,000 bucks. ▶ 05:53
• If Bitcoin trades and closes a daily candle back above yesterday's high, which would be good enough to say the next major higher low is very likely, then no target given (next weeks): If Bitcoin could just trade and close a daily doodle back above yesterday's high, which was 78,800, that would be good enough for me personally. ▶ 12:54
• If Bitcoin reclaims the midband on the revenue ribbons indicator, meaning lows are in and he is short-term bullish again, then no target given (next weeks): it would be if and when Bitcoin could reclaim the midband on the revenue ribbons indicator, which right now is 80,200 and uh sorry, 80,338. ▶ 13:03

Levels named

• 80.3k: Resistance (midband of the revenue ribbons indicator): it would be if and when Bitcoin could reclaim the midband on the revenue ribbons indicator, which right now is 80,200 and uh sorry, 80,338. ▶ 13:03
• 80k: Target (post-election 30-day median return of about 11%): we really start to expect, you know, Bitcoin to to crawl its way upwards back into the $80,000 territory in this month of November. ▶ 11:08
• 78.8k: Resistance (yesterday's high; a daily close above it would be good enough to call a higher low): If Bitcoin could just trade and close a daily doodle back above yesterday's high, which was 78,800, that would be good enough for me personally. ▶ 12:54
• 77.9k: Resistance (daily 5 EMA, which he wants reclaimed on a daily close): I'm looking at 1 spot 4% right here at about 77,900, which is more or less precisely where that red 5 EMA is on the daily time frame right here. ▶ 02:52
• 76.2k: Support (November has historically finished red whenever it trades below the October low): to give you an idea of what the numbers are. October's low was 76,195. ▶ 05:21
• 75k: Their view is wrong past this (last higher low from September, his line in the sand for the long-term bullish bias): that last trading higher low from September at 75,000 bucks. As long as Bitcoin's above there, I still do maintain a an optimistic bullish buys for the long term. ▶ 03:31
• 65–66k: Target (possible downside if the October low and the macro low are lost): it certainly does open up the possibility for Bitcoin to come down to about 65 to 66,000 bucks. ▶ 05:55

Their own position: Bought. I'll put my money where my mouth is. It's time for me to go over here to to old Coinbase and let's buy 100 Derpinos of Bitcoin right here, right now.

Dates named

• US midterm elections on 3 Nov 2026: Of course today is the midterms for us and uh I guess we'll see what happens with that.