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Crypto Bill Fails, BTC Dumps, SpaceX to $30, and Tom Lee’s Prediction

Lark Davis · · 53:02 · Watch on YouTube

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

BTC near publication: $76,2504-hour candle close · 16 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

ETH near publication: $2,4234-hour candle close · 16 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle went from leaning up to expecting up.

Views

  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading): I've got a pretty high level of confidence that the bottom was 57K. The onchain and technicals show that. ▶ 20:54 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).

Levels named

  • 83k: Resistance (breakout beyond the orange box): key levels for BTC, 200 day EMA retest at $73,000 or a breakout beyond this orange box around $83,000. ▶ 44:56
  • 73k: Support (200 day EMA retest): key levels for BTC, 200 day EMA retest at $73,000 or a breakout beyond this orange box around $83,000. ▶ 44:56
  • 57k: Support, expected to hold (onchain and technical indicators point to the cycle bottom being 57K): I've got a pretty high level of confidence that the bottom was 57K. The onchain and technicals show that. ▶ 20:54

Their own position: Not said.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

No view on any horizon.

Levels named

  • 2.55k: Resistance (flat line of intense sell pressure at this level): Right across 2550. I mean, look at that. How often do you see that in the charts? The sell pressure at this exact level has been intense. ▶ 36:44
  • 2.2k: Support (200 day EMA breakout retest): If we come back down to 2,200 bucks, which is the 200 day EMA, a breakout retest of the 200 day. I mean, this is like a flat line. ▶ 36:37

Their own position: Sold. my Ethereum trade, as I figured would be the case, ended up getting stopped that I probably should have cut it out yesterday

Dates named

  • Fed meeting and expected 25bp rate hike on 16 Sep 2026: I mean, you'll expect some whipssawing price action around the actual announcement itself