Fed Hike Day, Live: What Bitcoin Does in the Decision Hour, and the 55 EMA Test That Follows

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days moved sideways to up; weeks moved up to sideways; months went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans up: it is interesting to see that, you know, between now and end of week more likely to bounce even if they do hike. ▶ 21:47 The call was right: 75.8k when said, 84k on 23 Sep 2026 (+10.8%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Sideways: I think these next couple weeks going to be slightly sideways, holding the range, maybe got a wick down to like 73 and a half or something like that. ▶ 2:37:06 The call was right: 75.8k when said, 81.4k on 16 Oct 2026 (+7.3%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): assuming that Bitcoin does still maintain an overall long-term bullish posturing, which all of our long-term setups still have a high probability of that. ▶ 10:29 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin reclaims the midband (yesterday's high, about $79,000), then 80k (next weeks): Yesterday's high of about what $79,000 bucks. If Bitcoin can reclaim that, that is when I'd say in terms of timing, we're very likely going to see another try above $80,000. ▶ 31:45
• If Bitcoin breaks the current lows, then 73k (next days): if Bitcoin does break the current lows, and I, you know, I still would be looking at this as a corrective target, 73,000 bucks and change. ▶ 2:32:12

Levels named

• 80k: Resistance, expected to turn price back (holding pattern until October): At the same time, to the upside, don't think you're going past 80,000 bucks anytime soon. ▶ 2:37:17
• 79k: Resistance (midband of the indicator, effectively yesterday's high): Yesterday's high of about what $79,000 bucks. If Bitcoin can reclaim that, that is when I'd say in terms of timing, we're very likely going to see another try above $80,000. ▶ 31:45
• 75.9k: Resistance (close needed for the daily stochastic to cross up): Again if that's going to happen today Bitcoin would be forced to close above 75900. ▶ 31:27
• 73.1k: Target (minimum target of the corrective cross down to the green 55 EMA, which has been tested 100% of the time): minimum target down to the green 55 EMA is initiated just based off of that. That as of right now is at 73,145. ▶ 23:26

Their own position: Bought. I'll be buying 100 Dpenas of Bitcoins right here at 75,7 or let's actually do that uh not at market can get better price right now.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: So really do want to see this one uh recover itself if it is going to be you know if it is going to end up making another move to the upside. I would say early October. ▶ 18:47 Said again while their call of 19 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 2.09k when said, 2.58k on 18 Sep 2026 (+23.9%).

If this, then that

• If Ethereum finishes the day below 2400 and the daily cross is forced, then 2.25k (next weeks): the green 55 EMA does become a legitimate corrective target if that happens, which as of right now is 2250. ▶ 1:16:52

Levels named

• 2.4k: Resistance (closing below it for a day or two sets up a pending corrective setup): you do have you do have a pending corrective setup if this thing does close you know another couple you know another day or two below about 2400. ▶ 18:40
• 2.33k: Support (low side of the forming range; above it the bulls keep the nod): the low side of that range about 2330ish region. So as long as you're above there I still do give it the nod for the bull laws here to of course pull through. ▶ 18:33
• 2.25k: Target (green 55 EMA as corrective target): the green 55 EMA does become a legitimate corrective target if that happens, which as of right now is 2250. ▶ 1:16:52

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• FOMC rate decision and press conference on 16 Sep 2026: It's a long day ahead of us as we have FOMC a little bit later and then of course the conference that comes after that which is really the main event of the day honestly.