cryptobro

Coin Bureau: predictions and track record

@CoinBureau on YouTube · Macro, News, fundamental

As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.

What Coin Bureau has said about where Bitcoin and Ether go next, read from their videos, and how those calls turned out when they came due. Records kept since .

Bitcoin

Says now: Next weeks: Leans up.

Track record

  • Next days, graded after 7 days: 2 of 6 graded up or down calls right, 1 draw. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell; score so far 43. Taking each of the 6 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 7 days, price moved +4% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −27%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return. 6 graded calls came after price had already moved their way by more than 1% in the 7 days before: 2 of 6 right. That was every one.
  • Next weeks, graded after 30 days: 0 of 4 graded up or down calls right, 1 draw, 1 call still open. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell; score so far 38. Taking each of the 4 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 30 days, price moved −59% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −52%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return. 3 graded calls came after price had already moved their way by more than 2.5% in the 30 days before: 0 of 3 right. The other 1: 0 of 1 right.
  • Next months, graded after 4 months: 1 of 3 graded up or down calls right, sideways calls 0 of 1 right. Score 45; this horizon is not graded. Taking each of the 3 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 4 months, price moved −60% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −18%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return. 2 graded calls came after price had already moved their way by more than 6.5% in the 4 months before: 1 of 2 right. That was every one.
  • This cycle, graded after 1 year: 1 of 2 graded up or down calls right. Taking each of the 2 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 1 year, price moved −2% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −52%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return.

Latest words per horizon

  • Next days (next 1–7 days): Waiting on a level, : This week, what happens in the stock market, the oil market, and at the Fed will determine whether 80K holds, whether Bitcoin breaks back towards 85K or whether 75K comes into play. (the video's calls, watch at 00:26)
  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up, : if the worst of the bad news is behind us, there's every chance Bitcoin reclaims that level before too long. (the video's calls, watch at 08:56)
  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Waiting on 80k, : On the other hand, if 80k holds, it becomes the floor for the next leg and this bull trend starts looking truly glorious. (the video's calls, watch at 10:01)
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up, : there is a good chance that marks a proper turning point for crypto's number one asset (the video's calls, watch at 15:24)

Every call, newest first

  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): open until 29 Nov 2026, against 77.4k when said. if the worst of the bad news is behind us, there's every chance Bitcoin reclaims that level before too long. (the video, watch at 08:56)
  • Next months: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −9.8% in the 4 months before: wrong: 60k when said, 79.9k on 27 Oct 2026 (+33.3%). leaning towards hiking, which means one more violent flush towards 40,000 to 52,000 dollars may be needed before a durable floor can form. (the video, watch at 08:05)
  • Next months: Sideways, said : wrong: 62.9k when said, 81.8k on 22 Oct 2026 (+29.9%). The cycle could still grind sideways for months. Thorne could be right about $40,000. (the video, watch at 13:13)
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said , after price had already moved −11.4% in the 7 days before: a draw: 68.9k when said, 68.8k on 16 Feb 2026 (−0.2%), under the 1% it takes to count. I think we are still probably uh going lower. Um maybe, you know, if not this week, then soon. (the video, watch at 43:32)
  • Next weeks: Down, tentatively, said , after price had already moved −24.0% in the 30 days before: a draw: 68.9k when said, 69.2k on 11 Mar 2026 (+0.4%), under the 2.5% it takes to count. We're in for weeks of pain. Well, yeah, possibly. Possibly. But, you know, this is where this is where uh diamond hands are are forged. (the video, watch at 14:49) Said again in 2 later videos while open.
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said , after price had already moved +5.3% in the 30 days before: wrong: 93.8k when said, 70.3k on 5 Feb 2026 (−25.1%). you understand there could be a small rally sometime in Q1 2026 (the video, watch at 18:42)
  • Next months: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −15.6% in the 4 months before: right: 93.8k when said, 82.5k on 6 May 2026 (−12.1%). After that small rally though, the crypto market is likely to fall as liquidity is drained due to the debt refinancing wall (the video, watch at 19:13) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +7.1% in the 7 days before: wrong: 94k when said, 91.7k on 12 Jan 2026 (−2.4%). So momentum is looking good in the short term and indeed on the daily chart we have had five solid days of gains (the video, watch at 11:15)
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +6.8% in the 7 days before: wrong: 92k when said, 89.6k on 15 Dec 2025 (−2.5%). We could potentially head a bit higher because there is a lot of liquidity above um as we go towards the uh Fed meeting or the FOMC. (the video, watch at 09:59) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next weeks: Down, tentatively, said , after price had already moved −21.8% in the 30 days before: wrong: 86.1k when said, 89k on 31 Dec 2025 (+3.3%). Um 2026 Q1 2026 could be a different story, but I my my Spidey sense tells me it's it's going to be a bearish December. (the video, watch at 22:12)
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said , after price had already moved −10.0% in the 7 days before: right: 95.6k when said, 86.3k on 24 Nov 2025 (−9.7%). uh probability wise more likely we go down than up to at least close that gap but um it will have we'll have to see how things progress throughout the day (the video, watch at 11:54)
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −1.5% in the 7 days before: right: 106.2k when said, 95.6k on 17 Nov 2025 (−10.0%). I do hope we close it soon because then we can continue higher. (the video, watch at 11:41)
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 106.2k when said, 92.1k on 10 Dec 2025 (−13.2%). All right. We'll close that CME gap and then higher. (the video, watch at 52:01)
  • Next days: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +3.9% in the 7 days before: wrong: 115.4k when said, 107.8k on 3 Nov 2025 (−6.6%). So although I'm bullish about the day on the daily chart, I will note that there is that CME gap and they don't always they haven't always closed. (the video, watch at 10:33)
  • Next days: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved −2.8% in the 7 days before: wrong: 111k when said, 115.4k on 27 Oct 2025 (+3.9%). every other CME gap sort of around this level has closed. So you've got to imagine that that we will retrace to close that. (the video, watch at 13:00)
  • Next months: Up, tentatively, said : wrong: 111k when said, 67.9k on 17 Feb 2026 (−38.9%). looking forward to that alltime high which will hopefully reach in the next few months. (the video, watch at 34:43) Said again in 4 later videos while open.
  • This cycle: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): right: 111.3k when said, 83.5k on 14 Oct 2026 (−25.0%). If history repeats, then the crypto bull market will end in the next few months and the crypto bare market will begin sometime in 2026. (the video, watch at 00:00) Said again in 4 later videos while open.
  • This cycle: Up, tentatively, said : wrong: 114.2k when said, 83.4k on 13 Oct 2026 (−27.0%). a lot of people, us included, have kind of called this a healthy pullback. Um, so not the end of the cycle by any means. (the video, watch at 33:52) Said again in 10 later videos while open.
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +9.5% in the 30 days before: wrong: 122.7k when said, 101.9k on 8 Nov 2025 (−17.0%). Naturally, this isn't sustainable, suggesting a major upside breakout is imminent. (the video, watch at 10:37)

Every analyst's Bitcoin record

Ethereum

No current view: no video in the past 30 days.

Track record

  • Next days, graded after 7 days: No up or down call graded yet. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell.
  • Next weeks, graded after 30 days: 1 of 2 graded up or down calls right. Early: a grade takes 10 graded calls, at least 3 where price rose and 3 where it fell; score so far 50. Taking each of the 2 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 30 days, price moved +3% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made +3%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return. 1 graded call came after price had already moved their way by more than 4% in the 30 days before: 1 of 1 right. The other 1: 0 of 1 right.
  • Next months, graded after 4 months: 0 of 1 graded up or down calls right, 1 call still open. Taking each of the 1 graded up or down calls as a trade for its 4 months, price moved −51% their way, added up; holding through the same windows made −51%. Calls overlap, so this is a tally of moves, not a return.
  • This cycle, graded after 1 year: No up or down call graded yet, 2 calls still open.

Latest words per horizon

  • Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up, : And from here, provided that we don't get any majorly nasty surprises, everything points to ETH looking good for more. (the video's calls, watch at 15:20)
  • Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up, : the likely answer is that ETH finishes the year significantly higher than the sub $2,000 price we're seeing right now (the video's calls, watch at 19:00)
  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up, : So, taken together, this suggests that ETH's price will eventually appreciate, current market conditions notwithstanding. (the video's calls, watch at 19:59)

Every call, newest first

  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading), after price had already moved +25.7% in the 30 days before: right: 2.46k when said, 2.72k on 25 Sep 2026 (+10.3%). And from here, provided that we don't get any majorly nasty surprises, everything points to ETH looking good for more. (the video, watch at 15:20)
  • Next months: Up, tentatively, said : open until 27 Nov 2026, against 1.92k when said. the likely answer is that ETH finishes the year significantly higher than the sub $2,000 price we're seeing right now (the video, watch at 19:00)
  • This cycle: Up, tentatively, said : open until 31 Jan 2027, against 2.64k when said. From our perspective, Ethereum still has some upside potential in 2026. (the video, watch at 10:41) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • This cycle: Down, tentatively, said (timeframe is our reading): open until 27 Nov 2026, against 3.03k when said. If Bitcoin does a 50 to 60% slide in a relatively mild bear, it's entirely reasonable to expect a 60 to 75% downside for ETH and 80% plus in doomsday scenarios. (the video, watch at 19:28) Said again in 1 later video while open.
  • Next weeks: Up, tentatively, said : wrong: 3.26k when said, 3.04k on 7 Dec 2025 (−6.9%). Combined with ETH's continued strength against BTC and strong EVM chains performance, especially Base, ETH looks set to explode in the coming weeks, likely lifting other altcoins with it. (the video, watch at 18:37)
  • Next months: Up, firmly, said (timeframe is our reading): wrong: 4.08k when said, 2k on 10 Feb 2026 (−50.9%). We're going to see some alts rally and we're going to see ETH going back above all-time highs again given the that it's the closest from the rotational shift from Bitcoin (the video, watch at 36:40)

Every analyst's Ethereum record

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