Bitcoin's Next 6 Months: +41% Median After This Rare Cross (8 Priors)

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days went from leaning down to expecting down; weeks moved sideways to up; months went from leaning up to expecting up; cycle went from leaning up to expecting up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Expects down (timeframe is our reading): a little bit of short-term downside, if it comes down to 76, that's fine, but at least down at about 78 or so, and I'd be looking for bounces around that region, ▶ 07:53 The call was a draw: 78.8k when said, 78.6k on 14 Sep 2026 (−0.3%), under the 1% it takes to count.
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): and then Bitcoin to go sideways and up once we get around to the midpoint of this month, which is actually rapidly approaching. ▶ 08:01 Said again while their call of 19 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 68.6k when said, 80.7k on 18 Sep 2026 (+17.8%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Expects up: And we are getting consistently, you know, estimates somewhere around about 95,000 bucks to, you know, even the 110s or so in that region. ▶ 01:25 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading): Bitcoin very likely is transitioning transitioning from a bear market into a bull market ▶ 04:40 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

Levels named

• 78–80k: Support (range between the upper band and the lower band of upper band one on the Revin Ribbons): which is effectively range between 78,000 bucks on the low end to as high as $80,000 on the upper end with a midpoint at ▶ 12:46
• 79.3k: Their view is wrong past this (a rally back above this before the six-hour close would stop the 5/21 EMA cross from playing out): assuming Bitcoin just doesn't rally back above, let's call it like $79,300 in the next one hour and nine minutes before that next period closes. ▶ 02:15
• 79.2k: Target (corrective move after the six-hour 5/21 EMA cross goes to the 55 EMA): we do have a nice and obvious corrective move down all the way to that green 55 EMA, which right now on CME is about $79,200 on spot price. ▶ 02:25
• 76k: Target (daily stochastic momentum oscillator cross implies a 3.5-4.5% pullback): which would put Bitcoin basically between last week's low and perhaps all the way down to about $76,000 in change or so. ▶ 02:53
• 76k: Support, expected to hold (worst pullback is a reconnect with the weekly 5 EMA): which Bitcoin is not reconnected with in once, twice, and now working on three closures here that is coming in where? About 76,000 bucks. ▶ 05:37
• 75.8k: Support (trending higher low pivot; consolidation favors bulls while price stays above on a closing basis): as long as Bitcoin is below, sorry, above that particular pivot, which again, $75,835 on a closing basis. ▶ 10:43
• 70k: Support (bottom of upper band one on the Revin Ribbons): showing a little bit of an area of interest here at the bottom side of upper band one, which is 70,000 bucks and changes. ▶ 12:07

Their own position: Bought, no leverage. Like I said, I'm buying 100 derps of Bitcoin a day.

Dates named

• CPI on 11 Sep 2026: we do have CPI coming up on actually this Friday.
• FOMC, undated: And then next week, we got FOMC, probably a little more important.
• Quad witching on 18 Sep 2026: And then you got, of course, the quad, which an event next Friday.