Bitcoin: The Early March Rally

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• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): it's it's it seems reasonable to have a rally into a lower high, which we tend to get in March. ▶ 17:36 Said again while their call of 13 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 68.7k when said, 71.5k on 15 Mar 2026 (+4.1%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): my guess is that it will then prove to be a lower high and then we'll get more weakness going into April and May. ▶ 20:22 Said again while their call of 17 Nov 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 94.3k when said, 74.9k on 17 Mar 2026 (−20.6%).

Levels named

• 85k: Resistance (bear market resistance band, resistance until proven otherwise): the bear market resistance band right now is around 85K, but it's moving lower and who knows where it'll be by the time we get to it. ▶ 19:49
• 74–75k: Resistance (area price broke down from could act as resistance): the area that we broke down from, right? And and that was around 74,000 75,000. So that that could provide some resistance as well. ▶ 20:01
• 58k: Support (In 2018 Bitcoin went to the 200-week moving average in the summer): If you look at where the 200-week moving average is, it's currently around 58K. ▶ 18:45

Their own position: Holding. I I don't get rid of all of my Bitcoin in the in the fourth quarter of the post-halving year. I always keep some of it