cryptoBusiness Cycles Ends With Recessions
Benjamin Cowen · · 34:11 · Watch on YouTube
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BTC near publication: $64,0584-hour candle close · 25 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: cycle flipped down to up.
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- Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up:
Usually you get a brief bounce into sometime in early March, and then we go lower into the summer, right?
▶ 28:50 Said again while their call of 13 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 68.7k when said, 71.5k on 15 Mar 2026 (+4.1%). - Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans down:
then we go lower into the summer, right? April, May, June. That's tend to win. That tends to be where you get into the depth of of crypto winter.
▶ 28:54 Said again while their call of 17 Nov 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 94.3k when said, 74.9k on 17 Mar 2026 (−20.6%). - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading):
Even if the business cycle ends this year, there's still a good chance that Bitcoin could also bottom out when it always does and then start its bull market like it always does.
▶ 17:42 Said again while their call of 1 Feb 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 1 Feb 2027, against 78.9k when said.
Their own position: Not said.