Reflections from 2025: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Stocks, and Metals

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle went from expecting down to leaning down.

Views

• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): but I also want to leave room for a rally to the 50WE or 100K just like in 2019 we rallied to 10K and it was a lower high. ▶ 25:10 Said again while their call of 7 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 121.8k when said, 74.1k on 4 Feb 2026 (−39.2%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): Like if I like I think the top for Bitcoin is in. ▶ 24:53 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).

If this, then that

• If a couple weekly closes above the 20-week moving average would show the top-is-in view is wrong, so he would pivot, then no target given (this cycle): I want to pivot quickly, not hold on to it. And that might just mean getting, you know, a couple weekly closes above the 20we moving average. ▶ 25:32

Levels named

• 100k: Target (a rally to the 50-week MA or 100K that ends as a lower high, like 2019's rally to 10K): but I also want to leave room for a rally to the 50WE or 100K just like in 2019 we rallied to 10K and it was a lower high. ▶ 25:10

Their own position: Not said.

On Ethereum

Changed since their last video: weeks flipped up to down.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down: there still could be further downside ahead into early 2026. ▶ 16:52 The call was right: 2.97k when said, 2.8k on 29 Jan 2026 (−5.9%).

Levels named

• 2.1k: Target (possible sweep of the low and consolidation in the lower logarithmic regression trend line, like Tesla): Maybe we do end up sweeping the low at 2100 or something and and spending more time consolidating in the lower logarithmic regression trend line. ▶ 16:58

Their own position: Not said.