Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation

On Bitcoin

No change since their last video.

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• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): What I think makes the most amount of sense is for Bitcoin to drop into the in sort of like early 2026, ▶ 11:51 Said again while their call of 20 Dec 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 88.2k when said, 93.1k on 19 Jan 2026 (+5.5%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): I kind of think that we will have a rally to the bull market support band. Uh, but I don't think it's going to happen until 2026. ▶ 09:50 Said again while their call of 7 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 121.8k when said, 74.1k on 4 Feb 2026 (−39.2%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects down (timeframe is our reading): my base case right now is that Bitcoin that that it's in a bare market and that we're going to go to say the 200E moving average by the summer or October 2026 at the latest. ▶ 15:42 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).

Levels named

• 102k: Resistance (Even in confirmed bear markets, price typically rallies to the 50-week moving average at some point): you still typically get that rally to the 50week moving average at some point. And that's currently at around 102,000, a little bit less than 102K. ▶ 09:27

Their own position: Holding. I don't have as much Bitcoin as I did a few months ago. Um, but there's there's hedging.