cryptoBitcoin Pre-FOMC
Benjamin Cowen · · 09:08 · Watch on YouTube
As of . Updated hourly as new videos are read.
BTC near publication: $90,3854-hour candle close · 9 Dec 2025, 12:00 UTC · BTC/USDT
On Bitcoin
Changed since their last video: weeks flipped down to up; months flipped down to up.
Views
- Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading):
Now, I do think we will build off of a low relatively soon, but I think it will likely resolve to a lower high, unfortunately.
▶ 02:04 The call was a draw: 90.4k when said, 90.2k on 8 Jan 2026 (−0.2%), under the 2.5% it takes to count. - Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading):
So, we likely will see that at some point, but I don't really expect that to happen until 2026.
▶ 03:31 Said again while their call of 7 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 121.8k when said, 74.1k on 4 Feb 2026 (−39.2%). - This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans down (timeframe is our reading):
However, unlike the prior peaks, this peak we topped on apathy, more similar to the 2019 peak, where we just slowly went down.
▶ 02:33 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 123.5k when said, 85.8k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.5%).
Their own position: Not said.
Dates named
- FOMC meeting, expected 25bp rate cut to 3.75% on 10 Dec 2025:
So, we are about to have FOMC on December 10th, and what you'll notice is that the markets are expecting a rate cut, right?
- Bank of Japan rate hike, undated:
I would argue there's about a 75% chance the BOJ raises rates at its next meeting.