Bitcoin Hit 81K on Quad Witching: The Turn Is Confirmed, and What a Green September Buys Into Q4

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: cycle went from leaning up to expecting up.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: between now and I would say uh late uh October slash, you know, middle of November, um, I'm generally looking for sideways and up. ▶ 24:26 Said again while their call of 19 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 68.6k when said, 80.7k on 18 Sep 2026 (+17.8%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: Again, I am bullish for Q4 more or less. ▶ 18:07 Said again while their call of 10 Jul 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was open until 7 Nov 2026, against 64k when said.
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Expects up (timeframe is our reading): and you think Bitcoin's putting the macro low which that is my opinion ▶ 1:39:31 Said again while their call of 8 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 122.9k when said, 82.5k on 8 Oct 2026 (−32.9%).

If this, then that

• If Bitcoin closes the week above 80,800, confirming a weekly bullish engulfing candle, then no target given (next weeks, by into the end of this month): if Bitcoin does close above 80,800 we will indeed see that bullish engulfing dildo cemented ▶ 18:34
• If Bitcoin closes above the previous weekly trending lower high at 82814, which would flip the trend, then no target given (this cycle): it would require Bitcoin to close not just trade up above but close above that very specific number which is 82814 ▶ 20:04
• If The week does not close as a bullish engulfing candle, then no target given (next days, by next week): unless a Bitcoin closed out this week on a bullish engulfing, I you're probably going to get a short-term pullback next week. ▶ 45:44
• If September closes green, then no target given (next months): So if September closes green, I don't expect that far down in Q4. ▶ 27:41

Levels named

• 259k: Target (one sigma above the model trend): Uh, but that would be closer to $259,000. ▶ 54:33
• 135.5k: Target (fair value from his experimental price model): Uh but it would give a fair price at around $135,500. ▶ 53:51
• 120k: Target (median golden cross returns over about half a year): So you're looking at around about 120,000 bucks uh, within about half a year as as sort of like a likely thing to occur. ▶ 25:12
• 82.8k: Resistance (previous weekly trending lower high from May): it would require Bitcoin to close not just trade up above but close above that very specific number which is 82814 ▶ 20:04
• 75k: Their view is wrong past this (this week's low is the new potential major failure point): now we could move a potential major failure point down to effectively this week's low, which is about 75,000 bucks. ▶ 17:23
• 74k: Support (speaker said earlier he would be surprised by a move below it): I would be kind of surprised if Bitcoin even goes below like 74,000 bucks at this point. ▶ 17:32
• 73k: Their view is wrong past this (silver cross (21/55 EMA) would fail below this): for this to not be a winning instance in instance Bitcoin would need to come back down below 73,000 bucks ▶ 26:09

Their own position: Bought, no leverage. I'm buying 100 Dirt Penas of Bitcoin right here right now.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

Views

• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up: I think this thing wants to go up and I think that you're going to see it in, you know, with a three handle probably in October. ▶ 35:49 Said again while their call of 19 Aug 2026 was open, so it counts once; that call was right: 2.09k when said, 2.58k on 18 Sep 2026 (+23.9%).

Levels named

• 2.67k: Resistance (a weekly close above it would give a bullish engulfing): If it finishes above 2665, I think it's formality at this point. ▶ 35:46

Their own position: No position. I don't own any Ethereum. I don't care about Ethereum.