The Death of Buy and Hold in Cryptocurrency Markets

On Bitcoin

Changed since their last video: days flipped up to down; cycle went from expecting up to leaning up.

Views

• Next days (next 1–7 days): Leans down (timeframe is our reading): I do hope we close it soon because then we can continue higher. ▶ 11:41 The call was right: 106.2k when said, 95.6k on 17 Nov 2025 (−10.0%).
• Next weeks (next 2–6 weeks): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): All right. We'll close that CME gap and then higher. ▶ 52:01 The call was wrong: 106.2k when said, 92.1k on 10 Dec 2025 (−13.2%).
• Next months (next 2–6 months): Leans up: there's a number of catalysts coming up in the next few weeks and months that are something to look forward to ▶ 26:09 Said again while their call of 20 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 111k when said, 67.9k on 17 Feb 2026 (−38.9%).
• This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): that's a suggestion that the bottom is either in or getting damn close to being in. ▶ 33:01 Said again while their call of 13 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 114.2k when said, 83.4k on 13 Oct 2026 (−27.0%).

Levels named

• 100k: Support (price bounced right back after a brief dip below 100k, showing demand below that level): we did actually dip below 100k on Friday very briefly. Wow. Boinged back up again which does show that there was you know there's obviously there's obviously demand uh below that level. ▶ 08:45

Their own position: Not said.

Dates named

• US government shutdown ending, undated: we talked about is the government shutdown which could gonna potentially come this week.
• US CPI release (likely delayed by shutdown) on 13 Nov 2025: Now u we have CPI should be coming in well no it's that's when it's scheduled to come out right
• End of QT in December, undated: we've also got the QT coming in December, right? The end of QT.
• Supreme Court ruling on Trump tariffs, undated: So apparently the uh judgment could come as soon as December.