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Trump's Dangerous Iran Game Not Going To Plan

Lark Davis · · 21:21 · Watch on YouTube

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BTC near publication: $77,0544-hour candle close · 29 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTC · BTC/USDT

ETH near publication: $2,3244-hour candle close · 29 Apr 2026, 08:00 UTC · ETH/USDT

On Bitcoin

No change since their last video.

Views

  • This cycle (next 6–18 months): Leans up (timeframe is our reading): Very interesting. A lot a lot of evidence stacking up here that is just going to make four-year cyclists upset. ▶ 05:01 Said again while their call of 6 Oct 2025 was open, so it counts once; that call was wrong: 123.4k when said, 85.6k on 6 Oct 2026 (−30.7%).

If this, then that

  • If Break back below the trend line, then 69k (next weeks): Break back below the trend line, things are much more problematic. And then 69k comes probably a lot sooner than people think, unfortunately. ▶ 04:07

Levels named

  • 79k: Support (weekly close above 79k would put price above the 20-week EMA): Let's see if we can maintain and close the weekly above 79k, which will be above the 20-week EMA. ▶ 04:22
  • 69k: Target (downside target if price breaks back below the trend line): Break back below the trend line, things are much more problematic. And then 69k comes probably a lot sooner than people think, unfortunately. ▶ 04:07

Their own position: Not said.

On Ethereum

No change since their last video.

No view on any horizon.

If this, then that

  • If Daily close below 2240, the 50-day EMA, then no target given (next weeks): If we have a daily close below sort of 2240, let's say, it's 50-day EMA. Probably bad news bears for ETH and it goes a lot lower than people would like to think about currently. ▶ 07:24
  • If Daily close above the orange box, then 2.64–2.8k (next weeks): if we can get a damn daily close with this orange box here, we are running up to potentially 2800, 2640 I think at the least around this 200-day EMA here. ▶ 07:39

Levels named

  • 2.8k: Target (upside if daily close above the orange box; 200-day EMA area): if we can get a damn daily close with this orange box here, we are running up to potentially 2800, 2640 I think at the least around this 200-day EMA here. ▶ 07:39
  • 2.64k: Target (take profit on the speaker's ETH trade): Stop loss is at 2255. So, it'll be very small loss if that hits. Take profit still at 2640. ▶ 06:23
  • 2.25k: Their view is wrong past this (stop loss on the speaker's ETH trade): Stop loss is at 2255. So, it'll be very small loss if that hits. Take profit still at 2640. ▶ 06:23
  • 2.24k: Support (50-day EMA; daily close below is bearish): If we have a daily close below sort of 2240, let's say, it's 50-day EMA. Probably bad news bears for ETH and it goes a lot lower than people would like to think about currently. ▶ 07:24

Their own position: Holding; would buy at 2.28k. current entry on this is 2282. Stop loss, what is the stop loss at? Let me tell you, I forget.